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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Irene Aldana won · S-DEC R3

Elo1499

Elo1491

Irene AldanavsLucie PudilovaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 228: Woodley vs. Till · Saturday, September 8, 2018Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Irene Aldana won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIrene Aldana: Pressure fightervsLucie Pudilova: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Irene Aldana wins(51.2%)

Actual result: Irene Aldana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Irene Aldana at -110 American odds

+$91 profit

$191 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Lucie Pudilova enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Irene Aldana

Red Corner

Lucie Pudilova

Blue Corner

-110

(52%)

Vegas Odds

-110

(52%)

1499

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Irene Aldana

oldest →

KOvs Yana Kunitskaya · Jul 21

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Sep 22

vs Amanda Nunes · Jun 23

vs Karol Rosa · Dec 23

vs Norma Dumont · Sep 24

latest

Lucie PudilovaL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Antonina Shevchenko · Aug 19

KOvs Wu Yanan · Aug 22

vs Joselyne Edwards · Apr 23

vs Ailin Perez · Nov 23

vs Luana Carolina · Jul 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Irene AldanaMetricLucie Pudilova

5.19

Strikes / min

3.60

6.64

Strikes absorbed / min

4.07

56%

Strike defense

50%

0.15

TDs / 15 min

0.70

77%

Takedown defense

67%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.45evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Irene AldanaLucie Pudilova

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Irene Aldana(10 fights)Lucie Pudilova(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +8.1|Blue -8.1

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Irene AldanaTargetLucie Pudilova

By target zone

49% acc · 67%

Head

28% acc · 77%

43% acc · 8%

Body

55% acc · 10%

74% acc · 24%

Leg

65% acc · 12%

By position

111

51% acc · 93%

Distance

31% acc · 94%

80% acc · 7%

Clinch

60% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Irene Aldana rounds

even

Lucie Pudilova rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Irene Aldana edged it

Sig. strikes36

Takedowns0

Control0:00

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Irene Aldana edged it

Sig. strikes56

Takedowns0

Control0:02

50Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

119 / 226

Sig Strikes

105 / 329

51.7%

Sig Str %

31%

121 / 228

Total Strikes

110 / 336

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Lucie Pudilova	28 / 102	28 / 102	0 / 0
1	Irene Aldana	27 / 51	27 / 51	0 / 0
2	Lucie Pudilova	27 / 92	28 / 95	0 / 0
2	Irene Aldana	36 / 73	38 / 75	0 / 1
3	Lucie Pudilova	50 / 135	54 / 139	0 / 0
3	Irene Aldana	56 / 102	56 / 102	0 / 0

Irene Aldana

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14

Lucie Pudilova

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights10