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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ion Cutelaba won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1498

Elo1502

Ion CutelabavsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · Saturday, September 28, 2019Copenhagen, Denmark

Official fight result

Ion Cutelaba won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:35

Style matchupIon Cutelaba: WrestlervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Ion Cutelaba wins(56.4%)

Actual result: Ion Cutelaba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ion Cutelaba at -105 American odds

+$95 profit

$195 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ion Cutelaba has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Ion Cutelaba

Red Corner

Khalil Rountree Jr.

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1498

Elo

1502

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'1"

Height

6'1"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ion Cutelaba

oldest →

vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24

SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25

vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25

SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26

latest

Khalil Rountree Jr.

oldest →

KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23

KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23

KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24

vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25

KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ion CutelabaMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.

4.23

Strikes / min

3.88

3.28

Strikes absorbed / min

4.33

47%

Strike defense

49%

3.76

TDs / 15 min

0.00

75%

Takedown defense

58%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ion CutelabaKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -4.9|Blue +4.9

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ion CutelabaTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

56% acc · 93%

Head

36% acc · 80%

100% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 20%

Leg

By position

20% acc · 7%

Distance

43% acc · 60%

50% acc · 7%

Clinch

40% acc · 40%

68% acc · 87%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ion Cutelaba rounds

even

Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds

Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns4

Control1:20

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 26

Sig Strikes

5 / 12

57%

Sig Str %

41%

16 / 27

Total Strikes

5 / 12

4 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

80%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

1:20

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Khalil Rountree Jr.	5 / 12	5 / 12	0 / 0	0
1	Ion Cutelaba	15 / 26	16 / 27	4 / 5	0

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights20

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights17