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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jared Cannonier won · U-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1481

Ion CutelabavsJared CannonierUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Tournament of Champions Finale · Saturday, December 3, 2016Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jared Cannonier won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIon Cutelaba: WrestlervsJared Cannonier: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ion Cutelaba wins(63.4%)

Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ion Cutelaba at -230 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Ion Cutelaba

Red Corner

Jared Cannonier

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+190

(34%)

1498

Elo

1481

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Switch

6'1"

Height

5'11"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ion Cutelaba

oldest →

vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24

SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25

vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25

SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26

latest

Jared CannonierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24

vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25

vs Michael Page · Aug 25

DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ion CutelabaMetricJared Cannonier

4.23

Strikes / min

4.42

3.28

Strikes absorbed / min

4.35

47%

Strike defense

56%

3.76

TDs / 15 min

0.54

75%

Takedown defense

64%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95evenly matched on net striking+0.07

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ion CutelabaJared Cannonier

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Jared Cannonier(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +16.3|Blue -16.3

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -174.0|Blue +174.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ion CutelabaTargetJared Cannonier

By target zone

25% acc · 67%

Head

56% acc · 76%

73% acc · 24%

Body

100% acc · 12%

80% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 12%

By position

24% acc · 56%

Distance

55% acc · 69%

53% acc · 22%

Clinch

87% acc · 22%

50% acc · 22%

Ground

100% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ion Cutelaba rounds

even

Jared Cannonier rounds

Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns2

Control2:20

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 2Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns3

Control2:12

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:52Control

Round 3Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control0:13

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:42Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 142

Sig Strikes

59 / 94

35.7%

Sig Str %

66.3%

50 / 148

Total Strikes

83 / 121

6 / 7

TDs

0 / 2

83.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:45

Ctrl Time

3:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jared Cannonier	11 / 17	16 / 22	0 / 0
1	Ion Cutelaba	24 / 53	25 / 54	2 / 2
2	Jared Cannonier	21 / 25	36 / 42	0 / 2
2	Ion Cutelaba	8 / 18	12 / 23	3 / 3
3	Jared Cannonier	27 / 52	31 / 57	0 / 0
3	Ion Cutelaba	13 / 71	13 / 71	1 / 2

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights20

Jared Cannonier

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights21