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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ion Cutelaba won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1498

Elo1362

Henrique da Silva editorial illustration

Ion CutelabavsHenrique da SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Hunt · Saturday, June 10, 2017Auckland, New Zealand

Official fight result

Ion Cutelaba won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:22

Style matchupIon Cutelaba: WrestlervsHenrique da Silva: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Ion Cutelaba wins(54.7%)

Actual result: Ion Cutelaba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ion Cutelaba at -305 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henrique da Silva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Henrique da Silva threatens submissions; Ion Cutelaba has lost 36% of fights by sub.
Ion Cutelaba has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ion Cutelaba

Red Corner

Henrique da Silva

Blue Corner

-305

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+275

(27%)

1498

Elo

1362

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'3"

190.5 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ion Cutelaba

oldest →

vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24

SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25

vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25

SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26

latest

Henrique da SilvaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Jun 16

SUBvs Joachim Christensen · Oct 16

SUBvs Paul Craig · Dec 16

vs Jordan Johnson · Jan 17

KOvs Gokhan Saki · Sep 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ion CutelabaMetricHenrique da Silva

4.23

Strikes / min

3.89

3.28

Strikes absorbed / min

5.28

47%

Strike defense

40%

3.76

TDs / 15 min

0.25

75%

Takedown defense

22%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95Δ 2.34 — meaningful gap-1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ion CutelabaHenrique da Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Henrique da Silva(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +135.7|Blue -135.7

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ion CutelabaTargetHenrique da Silva

By target zone

83% acc · 100%

Head

50% acc · 100%

Body

Leg

By position

67% acc · 27%

Distance

50% acc · 100%

Clinch

92% acc · 73%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ion Cutelaba rounds

even

Henrique da Silva rounds

Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns1

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 18

Sig Strikes

1 / 2

83%

Sig Str %

50%

15 / 18

Total Strikes

1 / 2

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Henrique da Silva	1 / 2	1 / 2	0 / 0	0
1	Ion Cutelaba	15 / 18	15 / 18	0 / 0	0

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights20

Henrique da Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6