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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ion Cutelaba won · U-DEC R3

Elo1498

Elo1496

Ion CutelabavsDevin ClarkUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Spann · Saturday, September 18, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ion Cutelaba won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIon Cutelaba: WrestlervsDevin Clark: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ion Cutelaba wins(58.4%)

Actual result: Ion Cutelaba wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ion Cutelaba at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ion Cutelaba has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ion Cutelaba (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ion Cutelaba

Red Corner

Devin Clark

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1498

Elo

1496

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'0"

190.5 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ion Cutelaba

oldest →

vs Ivan Erslan · Sep 24

SUBvs Ibo Aslan · Feb 25

vs Modestas Bukauskas · May 25

SUBvs Oumar Sy · Mar 26

KOvs Navajo Stirling · Jun 26

latest

Devin ClarkL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs William Knight · Apr 22

KOvs Azamat Murzakanov · Aug 22

vs Da Woon Jung · Feb 23

SUBvs Kennedy Nzechukwu · May 23

vs Marcin Prachnio · Feb 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ion CutelabaMetricDevin Clark

4.23

Strikes / min

3.03

3.28

Strikes absorbed / min

3.24

47%

Strike defense

44%

3.76

TDs / 15 min

2.17

75%

Takedown defense

58%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.95Δ 1.16 — meaningful gap-0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ion CutelabaDevin Clark

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ion Cutelaba(10 fights)Devin Clark(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.7|Blue -1.7

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +35.0|Blue -35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ion CutelabaTargetDevin Clark

By target zone

62% acc · 92%

Head

31% acc · 43%

80% acc · 6%

Body

43% acc · 13%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

77% acc · 43%

By position

33% acc · 11%

Distance

38% acc · 52%

69% acc · 17%

Clinch

62% acc · 35%

72% acc · 72%

Ground

43% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ion Cutelaba rounds

even

Devin Clark rounds

Round 1Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes47

Takedowns3

Control2:08

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:53Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns2

Control3:24

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 3Ion Cutelaba edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns3

Control3:16

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 101

Sig Strikes

23 / 52

62.3%

Sig Str %

41.7%

92 / 138

Total Strikes

84 / 130

8 / 12

TDs

1 / 6

67%

TD %

25%

Sub Att

Rev

8:48

Ctrl Time

1:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Devin Clark	11 / 19	18 / 29	1 / 2
1	Ion Cutelaba	47 / 73	53 / 79	3 / 4
2	Devin Clark	3 / 13	23 / 39	0 / 0
2	Ion Cutelaba	11 / 19	24 / 38	2 / 3
3	Devin Clark	9 / 20	43 / 62	0 / 4
3	Ion Cutelaba	6 / 9	15 / 21	3 / 5

Ion Cutelaba

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights20

Devin Clark

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights17