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Flyweight
3 Rounds
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Elo1520
Elo1466

Imanol RodriguezvsMatt SchnellUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · Saturday, June 6, 2026Las Vegas, USA

Fight begins in
Style matchupImanol Rodriguez: Elusive strikervsMatt Schnell: Pressure fighter

The elusive striker must use the cage and footwork. The pressure fighter forces the war.

The model's pick for this fight is locked

Imanol Rodriguez vs Matt Schnell is on the undercard. Headliner picks are free — unlock the full card with a $9 monthly Fight Detective membership.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Imanol Rodriguez is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Matt Schnell has lost 60% of fights by KO.
  • Matt Schnell has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Matt Schnell has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Imanol Rodriguez
Red Corner
VS
Matt Schnell
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
1520
Elo
1466
26
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'4"
Height
5'8"
162.56 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Imanol Rodriguez
oldest →
W
KOvs Kevin Borjas · Feb 26
latest
Matt SchnellL2 streak
oldest →
L
KOvs Steve Erceg · Mar 24
L
SUBvs Cody Durden · Sep 24
W
vs Jimmy Flick · Apr 25
L
SUBvs Joseph Morales · Nov 25
L
KOvs Alessandro Costa · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Imanol RodriguezMetricMatt Schnell
5.71
Strikes / min
4.07
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
4.11
58%
Strike defense
55%
1.30
TDs / 15 min
0.60
0%
Takedown defense
43%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+3.29Δ 3.33 — meaningful gap-0.04
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14501473149515181540← oldermost recent →
Imanol Rodriguez(1 fights)Matt Schnell(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +53.8|Blue -53.8
Recent Form
Red +1.4|Blue -1.4
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -112.0|Blue +112.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Imanol Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox
Height64.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights1

Matt Schnell

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights18