Flyweight

3 Rounds

Imanol Rodriguez won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1521

Elo1486

Imanol RodriguezvsKevin BorjasUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Kavanagh · Saturday, February 28, 2026Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Imanol Rodriguez won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:21

Style matchupImanol Rodriguez: Elusive strikervsKevin Borjas: Striker

Two strikers, different gameplans. Volume vs precision — judges typically favor activity.

Model Prediction: Imanol Rodriguez wins(78.5%)

Actual result: Imanol Rodriguez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Imanol Rodriguez at -530 American odds

+$19 profit

$119 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Imanol Rodriguez is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Kevin Borjas has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Kevin Borjas has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Kevin Borjas has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Imanol Rodriguez

Red Corner

Kevin Borjas

Blue Corner

-530

(84%)

Vegas Odds

+370

(21%)

1521

Elo

1486

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'5"

162.56 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Imanol RodriguezNo prior UFC fights on record.

Kevin Borjas

oldest →

vs Joshua Van · Nov 23

KOvs Alessandro Costa · May 24

vs Ronaldo Rodriguez · Mar 25

vs Sumudaerji · Aug 25

DECvs Andre Lima · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Imanol RodriguezMetricKevin Borjas

5.71

Strikes / min

3.96

2.42

Strikes absorbed / min

5.64

58%

Strike defense

49%

1.30

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+3.29Δ 4.97 — meaningful gap-1.68

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Imanol RodriguezKevin Borjas

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Imanol Rodriguez(1 fights)Kevin Borjas(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +34.8|Blue -34.8

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +50.0|Blue -50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Imanol RodriguezTargetKevin Borjas

By target zone

52% acc · 76%

Head

38% acc · 77%

64% acc · 15%

Body

60% acc · 14%

67% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 9%

By position

48% acc · 65%

Distance

41% acc · 91%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

67% acc · 9%

82% acc · 30%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Imanol Rodriguez rounds

even

Kevin Borjas rounds

Round 1Kevin Borjas edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:28

Knockdowns0

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

2Knockdowns

Round 2Imanol Rodriguez edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

46 / 84

Sig Strikes

22 / 52

54%

Sig Str %

43%

55 / 93

Total Strikes

24 / 54

1 / 3

TDs

0 / 0

50%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:33

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Kevin Borjas	12 / 23	14 / 25	0 / 0
1	Imanol Rodriguez	12 / 22	21 / 31	1 / 1
2	Kevin Borjas	10 / 29	10 / 29	0 / 0
2	Imanol Rodriguez	34 / 62	34 / 62	0 / 2

Imanol Rodriguez

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights1

Kevin Borjas

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7