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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ilir Latifi won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1501

Ilir LatifivsTyson PedroUFC Prediction Result

UFC 215: Nunes vs Shevchenko 2 · Saturday, September 9, 2017Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Tyson Pedro wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Tyson Pedro at -140 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ilir Latifi has 50pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tyson Pedro has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ilir Latifi

Red Corner

Tyson Pedro

Blue Corner

+120

(45%)

Vegas Odds

-140

(58%)

1497

Elo

1501

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ilir Latifi

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20

vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23

latest

Tyson Pedro

oldest →

KOvs Ike Villanueva · Apr 22

KOvs Harry Hunsucker · Aug 22

vs Modestas Bukauskas · Feb 23

KOvs Anton Turkalj · Sep 23

vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ilir LatifiMetricTyson Pedro

2.05

Strikes / min

2.90

2.93

Strikes absorbed / min

2.39

56%

Strike defense

56%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

0.76

100%

Takedown defense

50%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.88Δ 1.39 — meaningful gap+0.51

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ilir LatifiTyson Pedro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Tyson Pedro(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -3.5|Blue +3.5

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +182.0|Blue -182.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ilir LatifiTargetTyson Pedro

By target zone

52% acc · 86%

Head

48% acc · 39%

100% acc · 11%

Body

67% acc · 26%

100% acc · 2%

Leg

65% acc · 35%

By position

34% acc · 30%

Distance

49% acc · 68%

67% acc · 9%

Clinch

89% acc · 26%

77% acc · 61%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ilir Latifi rounds

even

Tyson Pedro rounds

Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control2:17

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:34

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control2:32

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 79

Sig Strikes

31 / 54

50.7%

Sig Str %

56.7%

59 / 94

Total Strikes

44 / 68

4 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

88.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:23

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Tyson Pedro	8 / 17	14 / 23	0 / 0
1	Ilir Latifi	3 / 7	5 / 9	2 / 3
2	Tyson Pedro	11 / 19	18 / 26	0 / 0
2	Ilir Latifi	12 / 24	18 / 30	1 / 1
3	Tyson Pedro	12 / 18	12 / 19	0 / 0
3	Ilir Latifi	29 / 48	36 / 55	1 / 1

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16

Tyson Pedro

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights11