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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ilir Latifi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1497
Ilir Latifi
Elo1359
Sean O'Connell

Ilir LatifivsSean O'ConnellUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dillashaw vs Cruz · Sunday, January 17, 2016Boston, Massachusetts, USA

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:30

Style matchupIlir Latifi: WrestlervsSean O'Connell: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sean O'Connell wins(63.9%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sean O'Connell at +245 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ilir Latifi has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Ilir Latifi has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ilir Latifi
Red Corner
VS
Sean O'Connell
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
1497
Elo
1359
44
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ilir Latifi
oldest →
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20
W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23
latest
Sean O'ConnellL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Gian Villante · Jun 14
W
KOvs Matt Van Buren · Jan 15
W
KOvs Anthony Perosh · May 15
L
vs Steve Bosse · Jun 16
L
KOvs Corey Anderson · Dec 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ilir LatifiMetricSean O'Connell
2.05
Strikes / min
5.46
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
6.77
56%
Strike defense
45%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
30%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1503Strikes8.6 vs 52.5Takedowns0.6 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.40 vs 0.50Form0.5 vs 0.4
Ilir LatifiSean O'Connell

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Sean O'Connell(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +138.5|Blue -138.5
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.7|Blue +1.7
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -70.0|Blue +70.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ilir LatifiTargetSean O'Connell

By target zone

2
67% acc · 100%
Head
1
33% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

2
67% acc · 100%
Distance
1
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ilir Latifi rounds
0
even
0
Sean O'Connell rounds
Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:01
Knockdowns1
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
2 / 3
Sig Strikes
1 / 3
66%
Sig Str %
33%
2 / 3
Total Strikes
1 / 3
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Sean O'Connell1 / 31 / 30 / 00
1Ilir Latifi2 / 32 / 30 / 00

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16

Sean O'Connell

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights7