Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Ilir Latifi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Rodrigo Nascimento has a 18cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Ilir LatifiW2 streak
oldest →L
vs Corey Anderson · Dec 18L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22 Rodrigo NascimentoL2 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Alan Baudot · Jul 21W
vs Tanner Boser · Sep 22W
vs Don'Tale Mayes · Nov 23L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · May 24L
vs Alexandr Romanov · Nov 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Ilir LatifiMetricRodrigo Nascimento
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.63
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Ilir LatifiRodrigo Nascimento
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Rodrigo Nascimento(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -3.1|Blue +3.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -0.5|Blue +0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Ilir LatifiTargetRodrigo Nascimento
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
2
Rodrigo Nascimento rounds
Round 1Rodrigo Nascimento edged it
Sig. strikes28
Takedowns0
Control0:00
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Ilir Latifi edged it
Sig. strikes11
Takedowns1
Control2:12
15Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3Rodrigo Nascimento edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns1
Control1:38
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
