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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Corey Anderson won · U-DEC R3

Elo1497

Elo1492

Ilir LatifivsCorey AndersonUFC Prediction Result

UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · Saturday, December 29, 2018Los Angeles, California, USA

Official fight result

Corey Anderson won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIlir Latifi: WrestlervsCorey Anderson: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Corey Anderson wins(61.4%)

Actual result: Corey Anderson wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Corey Anderson at +110 American odds

+$110 profit

$210 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ilir Latifi has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Corey Anderson has a 15cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ilir Latifi

Red Corner

Corey Anderson

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1497

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

6'3"

185.42 cm

Reach

200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ilir Latifi

oldest →

KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19

vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20

vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21

vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22

vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23

latest

Corey Anderson

oldest →

KOvs Ovince Saint Preux · Nov 17

vs Patrick Cummins · Apr 18

vs Glover Teixeira · Jul 18

KOvs Johnny Walker · Nov 19

KOvs Jan Blachowicz · Feb 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ilir LatifiMetricCorey Anderson

2.05

Strikes / min

4.43

2.93

Strikes absorbed / min

2.22

56%

Strike defense

59%

2.11

TDs / 15 min

4.89

100%

Takedown defense

83%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.88Δ 3.09 — meaningful gap+2.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ilir LatifiCorey Anderson

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Corey Anderson(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +5.0|Blue -5.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red -2.5|Blue +2.5

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +148.0|Blue -148.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ilir LatifiTargetCorey Anderson

By target zone

35% acc · 70%

Head

26% acc · 60%

60% acc · 9%

Body

50% acc · 28%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

83% acc · 13%

By position

37% acc · 70%

Distance

33% acc · 95%

63% acc · 30%

Clinch

29% acc · 5%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ilir Latifi rounds

even

Corey Anderson rounds

Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:13

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 2Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:33

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:18Control

Round 3Corey Anderson edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 78

Sig Strikes

40 / 121

42.3%

Sig Str %

31.7%

34 / 79

Total Strikes

45 / 127

0 / 4

TDs

0 / 4

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:46

Ctrl Time

0:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Corey Anderson	7 / 29	7 / 29	0 / 1
1	Ilir Latifi	12 / 30	12 / 30	0 / 2
2	Corey Anderson	16 / 43	21 / 48	0 / 2
2	Ilir Latifi	11 / 23	12 / 24	0 / 2
3	Corey Anderson	17 / 49	17 / 50	0 / 1
3	Ilir Latifi	10 / 25	10 / 25	0 / 0

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights16

Corey Anderson

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach79.0"

Fights15