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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Ilir Latifi won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1497
Ilir Latifi
Elo1356

Ilir LatifivsChris DempseyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Brandao · Saturday, July 19, 2014Dublin, Leinster, Ireland

Official fight result

Ilir Latifi won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:07

Style matchupIlir Latifi: WrestlervsChris Dempsey: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ilir Latifi wins(68.2%)

Actual result: Ilir Latifi wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ilir Latifi at -295 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ilir Latifi has 84pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ilir Latifi
Red Corner
VS
Chris Dempsey
Blue Corner
-295
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+265
(27%)
1497
Elo
1356
44
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ilir Latifi
oldest →
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19
L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20
W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21
W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22
L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23
latest
Chris DempseyL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Eddie Gordon · Apr 15
L
KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Aug 15
L
KOvs Scott Askham · Feb 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ilir LatifiMetricChris Dempsey
2.05
Strikes / min
2.25
2.93
Strikes absorbed / min
2.82
56%
Strike defense
65%
2.11
TDs / 15 min
2.64
100%
Takedown defense
16%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.88evenly matched on net striking-0.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1500Strikes9.0 vs —Takedowns1.0 vs —Sub Atts1.00 vs —Form0.4 vs 0.0
Ilir LatifiChris Dempsey

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ilir Latifi(10 fights)Chris Dempsey(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +140.8|Blue -140.8
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red -49.4|Blue +49.4
Grappler Score
Red -49.9|Blue +49.9
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ilir LatifiTargetChris Dempsey

By target zone

9
38% acc · 56%
Head
1
20% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 6%
Body
0
6
100% acc · 38%
Leg
0

By position

15
50% acc · 94%
Distance
0
0% acc
0
Clinch
1
100% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 6%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Ilir Latifi rounds
0
even
0
Chris Dempsey rounds
Round 1Ilir Latifi edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns1
Control0:02
1Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
16 / 31
Sig Strikes
1 / 5
51%
Sig Str %
20%
17 / 32
Total Strikes
1 / 5
1 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
100%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:02
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Chris Dempsey1 / 51 / 50 / 00
1Ilir Latifi16 / 3117 / 321 / 10

Ilir Latifi

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16

Chris Dempsey

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4