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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Ikram Aliskerov won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1546

Elo1485

Ikram AliskerovvsAndre MunizUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Ikram Aliskerov won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:54

Style matchupIkram Aliskerov: WrestlervsAndre Muniz: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Ikram Aliskerov wins(65.6%)

Actual result: Ikram Aliskerov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ikram Aliskerov at -430 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ikram Aliskerov is a KO finisher (60% of wins). Andre Muniz has lost 75% of fights by KO.
Andre Muniz has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ikram Aliskerov has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ikram Aliskerov

Red Corner

Andre Muniz

Blue Corner

-430

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+340

(23%)

1546

Elo

1485

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Southpaw

6'0"

Height

6'1"

193.04 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ikram AliskerovW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Phil Hawes · May 23

KOvs Warlley Alves · Oct 23

KOvs Robert Whittaker · Jun 24

vs JunYong Park · Oct 25

DECvs Brunno Ferreira · Jun 26

latest

Andre Muniz

oldest →

vs Uriah Hall · Jul 22

SUBvs Brendan Allen · Feb 23

KOvs Paul Craig · Jul 23

vs JunYong Park · Dec 23

KOvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ikram AliskerovMetricAndre Muniz

6.86

Strikes / min

2.08

5.47

Strikes absorbed / min

2.46

41%

Strike defense

51%

3.20

TDs / 15 min

3.98

100%

Takedown defense

35%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.39Δ 1.77 — meaningful gap-0.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ikram AliskerovAndre Muniz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ikram Aliskerov(6 fights)Andre Muniz(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +61.6|Blue -61.6

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -196.0|Blue +196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ikram AliskerovTargetAndre Muniz

By target zone

57% acc · 59%

Head

26% acc · 38%

77% acc · 23%

Body

67% acc · 38%

89% acc · 18%

Leg

100% acc · 25%

By position

57% acc · 57%

Distance

44% acc · 100%

100% acc · 2%

Clinch

78% acc · 41%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ikram Aliskerov rounds

even

Andre Muniz rounds

Round 1Ikram Aliskerov edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control0:32

Knockdowns1

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 68

Sig Strikes

16 / 36

64%

Sig Str %

44%

55 / 80

Total Strikes

16 / 36

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:32

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Muniz	16 / 36	16 / 36	0 / 1	0
1	Ikram Aliskerov	44 / 68	55 / 80	0 / 0	0

Ikram Aliskerov

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6

Andre Muniz

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights10