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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jordan Wright won · KO/TKO

Elo1422

Elo1449

Ike VillanuevavsJordan WrightUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Munhoz vs. Edgar · Saturday, August 22, 2020Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jordan Wright won

KO/TKO

Style matchupIke Villanueva: Well-roundedvsJordan Wright: Wrestler

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jordan Wright wins(74.5%)

Actual result: Jordan Wright wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jordan Wright at -129 American odds

+$78 profit

$178 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ike Villanueva enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jordan Wright enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Ike Villanueva is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jordan Wright has lost 60% of fights by KO.
Jordan Wright is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Ike Villanueva has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Jordan Wright has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ike Villanueva

Red Corner

Jordan Wright

Blue Corner

+104

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-129

(56%)

1422

Elo

1449

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'1"

Height

6'2"

185.42 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ike VillanuevaL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chase Sherman · May 20

KOvs Vinicius Moreira · Jan 21

KOvs Marcin Prachnio · Jun 21

KOvs Nicolae Negumereanu · Oct 21

KOvs Tyson Pedro · Apr 22

latest

Jordan WrightL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jamie Pickett · May 21

KOvs Bruno Silva · Dec 21

SUBvs Marc-Andre Barriault · Apr 22

KOvs Dusko Todorovic · Oct 22

vs Zac Pauga · Feb 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ike VillanuevaMetricJordan Wright

3.66

Strikes / min

4.10

7.24

Strikes absorbed / min

6.03

36%

Strike defense

31%

0.60

TDs / 15 min

2.09

100%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-3.58Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap-1.93

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ike VillanuevaJordan Wright

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ike Villanueva(6 fights)Jordan Wright(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -26.5|Blue +26.5

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ike VillanuevaTargetJordan Wright

By target zone

100% acc · 71%

Head

100% acc · 67%

100% acc · 29%

Body

100% acc · 33%

Leg

By position

Distance

100% acc · 7%

100% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 80%

Ground

100% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ike Villanueva rounds

even

Jordan Wright rounds

Round 1Jordan Wright edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:58

Knockdowns0

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 7

Sig Strikes

15 / 15

100%

Sig Str %

100%

23 / 24

Total Strikes

21 / 21

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:58

Ctrl Time

0:13

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jordan Wright	15 / 15	21 / 21	0 / 0	0
1	Ike Villanueva	7 / 7	23 / 24	0 / 0	0

Ike Villanueva

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights6

Jordan Wright

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7