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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Ignacio Bahamondes won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1502

Elo1495

Ignacio BahamondesvsChristos GiagosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · Saturday, April 6, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ignacio Bahamondes won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:34

Style matchupIgnacio Bahamondes: Pressure fightervsChristos Giagos: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ignacio Bahamondes wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Ignacio Bahamondes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ignacio Bahamondes at -310 American odds

+$32 profit

$132 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ignacio Bahamondes has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Ignacio Bahamondes has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Ignacio Bahamondes

Red Corner

Christos Giagos

Blue Corner

-310

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+250

(29%)

1502

Elo

1495

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'10"

190.5 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ignacio BahamondesL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ludovit Klein · Aug 23

KOvs Manuel Torres · Sep 24

SUBvs Jalin Turner · Mar 25

vs Rafael Fiziev · Jun 25

vs Tofiq Musayev · Mar 26

latest

Christos Giagos

oldest →

SUBvs Sean Soriano · May 21

KOvs Arman Tsarukyan · Sep 21

SUBvs Thiago Moises · Jun 22

KOvs Ricky Glenn · Apr 23

SUBvs Daniel Zellhuber · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ignacio BahamondesMetricChristos Giagos

5.99

Strikes / min

3.03

4.07

Strikes absorbed / min

3.21

55%

Strike defense

50%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.84

70%

Takedown defense

52%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.92Δ 2.10 — meaningful gap-0.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ignacio BahamondesChristos Giagos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ignacio Bahamondes(10 fights)Christos Giagos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Recent Form

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +42.0|Blue -42.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ignacio BahamondesTargetChristos Giagos

By target zone

49% acc · 65%

Head

23% acc · 41%

89% acc · 20%

Body

43% acc · 18%

100% acc · 15%

Leg

100% acc · 41%

By position

59% acc · 83%

Distance

36% acc · 94%

58% acc · 18%

Clinch

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ignacio Bahamondes rounds

even

Christos Giagos rounds

Round 1Ignacio Bahamondes edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:15

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:10Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 68

Sig Strikes

17 / 45

58%

Sig Str %

37%

40 / 69

Total Strikes

18 / 46

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:15

Ctrl Time

0:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Christos Giagos	17 / 45	18 / 46	0 / 1	0
1	Ignacio Bahamondes	40 / 68	40 / 69	0 / 0	0

Ignacio Bahamondes

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights10

Christos Giagos

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights14