Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Billy Elekana won · U-DEC R3

Elo1468

Elo1544

Ibo AslanvsBilly ElekanaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · Saturday, July 26, 2025Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Billy Elekana won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Billy Elekana wins(58.6%)

Actual result: Billy Elekana wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Billy Elekana at +235 American odds

+$235 profit

$335 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Billy Elekana threatens submissions; Ibo Aslan has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Ibo Aslan has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ibo Aslan has 87pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Billy Elekana (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ibo Aslan

Red Corner

Billy Elekana

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+235

(30%)

1468

Elo

1544

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ibo AslanL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Anton Turkalj · Mar 24

KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Oct 24

SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Feb 25

KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Dec 25

latest

Billy ElekanaW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Bogdan Guskov · Jan 25

SUBvs Kevin Christian · Nov 25

SUBvs Junior Tafa · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ibo AslanMetricBilly Elekana

5.75

Strikes / min

2.71

3.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.59

56%

Strike defense

46%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.85

87%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.79Δ 2.67 — meaningful gap-0.88

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ibo AslanBilly Elekana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ibo Aslan(5 fights)Billy Elekana(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -76.0|Blue +76.0

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -35.0|Blue +35.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ibo AslanTargetBilly Elekana

By target zone

18% acc · 36%

Head

39% acc · 51%

80% acc · 29%

Body

81% acc · 49%

91% acc · 36%

Leg

0% acc

By position

36% acc · 100%

Distance

51% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ibo Aslan rounds

even

Billy Elekana rounds

Round 1Billy Elekana edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Billy Elekana edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Billy Elekana edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control0:00

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

28 / 78

Sig Strikes

35 / 68

36.3%

Sig Str %

52.3%

29 / 80

Total Strikes

35 / 68

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Billy Elekana	10 / 16	10 / 16	0 / 1
1	Ibo Aslan	8 / 19	8 / 19	0 / 0
2	Billy Elekana	10 / 21	10 / 21	0 / 2
2	Ibo Aslan	8 / 23	9 / 25	0 / 0
3	Billy Elekana	15 / 31	15 / 31	0 / 0
3	Ibo Aslan	12 / 36	12 / 36	0 / 0

Ibo Aslan

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights5

Billy Elekana

StanceSouthpaw

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights4