Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Ibo Aslan won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1468

Elo1481

Ibo AslanvsAnton TurkaljUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blanchfield vs. Fiorot · Saturday, March 30, 2024Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Ibo Aslan won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 1:32

Style matchupIbo Aslan: Pressure fightervsAnton Turkalj: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ibo Aslan wins(66.5%)

Actual result: Ibo Aslan wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ibo Aslan at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ibo Aslan enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Anton Turkalj enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Ibo Aslan is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Anton Turkalj has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Ibo Aslan has 71pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ibo Aslan

Red Corner

Anton Turkalj

Blue Corner

-130

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+110

(48%)

1468

Elo

1481

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'4"

195.58 cm

Reach

198.12 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ibo AslanL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Rafael Cerqueira · Oct 24

SUBvs Ion Cutelaba · Feb 25

vs Billy Elekana · Jul 25

KOvs Iwo Baraniewski · Dec 25

latest

Anton TurkaljL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Jailton Almeida · Sep 22

vs Vitor Petrino · Mar 23

KOvs Tyson Pedro · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ibo AslanMetricAnton Turkalj

5.75

Strikes / min

2.45

3.96

Strikes absorbed / min

3.42

56%

Strike defense

54%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

4.98

87%

Takedown defense

16%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.79Δ 2.76 — meaningful gap-0.97

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ibo AslanAnton Turkalj

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ibo Aslan(5 fights)Anton Turkalj(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -13.4|Blue +13.4

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.7|Blue -49.7

Grappler Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ibo AslanTargetAnton Turkalj

By target zone

37% acc · 77%

Head

29% acc · 65%

50% acc · 5%

Body

61% acc · 20%

68% acc · 18%

Leg

62% acc · 15%

By position

40% acc · 88%

Distance

34% acc · 89%

53% acc · 11%

Clinch

55% acc · 11%

50% acc · 1%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ibo Aslan rounds

even

Anton Turkalj rounds

Round 1Anton Turkalj edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:01

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 2Ibo Aslan edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control0:00

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 3Ibo Aslan edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:01

Knockdowns1

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

74 / 180

Sig Strikes

55 / 157

39.3%

Sig Str %

35%

76 / 183

Total Strikes

58 / 162

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 8

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Anton Turkalj	21 / 49	21 / 50	0 / 2
1	Ibo Aslan	17 / 53	17 / 53	0 / 0
2	Anton Turkalj	23 / 74	26 / 77	0 / 6
2	Ibo Aslan	44 / 96	46 / 99	0 / 0
3	Anton Turkalj	11 / 34	11 / 35	0 / 0
3	Ibo Aslan	13 / 31	13 / 31	0 / 0

Ibo Aslan

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights5

Anton Turkalj

StanceOrthodox

Height76.0"

Reach78.0"

Fights4