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Flyweight

3 Rounds

John Lineker won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1492

Ian McCallvsJohn LinekerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 183: Silva vs Diaz · Saturday, January 31, 2015Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

John Lineker won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupIan McCall: WrestlervsJohn Lineker: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Ian McCall wins(67.0%)

Actual result: John Lineker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ian McCall at -220 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Ian McCall has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Ian McCall has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ian McCall

Red Corner

John Lineker

Blue Corner

-220

(69%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1490

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'3"

162.56 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ian McCallW2 streak

oldest →

vs Demetrious Johnson · Jun 12

vs Joseph Benavidez · Feb 13

vs Iliarde Santos · Aug 13

vs Brad Pickett · Jul 14

latest

John Lineker

oldest →

vs John Dodson · Oct 16

vs TJ Dillashaw · Dec 16

vs Marlon Vera · Oct 17

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 18

vs Cory Sandhagen · Apr 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ian McCallMetricJohn Lineker

3.59

Strikes / min

5.36

3.25

Strikes absorbed / min

4.27

67%

Strike defense

56%

2.08

TDs / 15 min

0.56

88%

Takedown defense

67%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.34evenly matched on net striking+1.09

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ian McCallJohn Lineker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ian McCall(5 fights)John Lineker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -3.0|Blue +3.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ian McCallTargetJohn Lineker

By target zone

22% acc · 33%

Head

22% acc · 50%

81% acc · 55%

Body

57% acc · 42%

71% acc · 13%

Leg

43% acc · 8%

By position

40% acc · 68%

Distance

32% acc · 84%

40% acc · 10%

Clinch

38% acc · 16%

60% acc · 23%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Ian McCall rounds

even

John Lineker rounds

Round 1Ian McCall edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control3:10

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2John Lineker edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:21

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

40 / 92

Sig Strikes

38 / 121

43.7%

Sig Str %

30.3%

73 / 130

Total Strikes

48 / 132

1 / 6

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:31

Ctrl Time

0:46

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	John Lineker	3 / 13	8 / 19	0 / 0	1
1	Ian McCall	13 / 26	40 / 57	1 / 1	0
2	John Lineker	18 / 41	20 / 43	0 / 0	2
2	Ian McCall	11 / 27	17 / 34	0 / 3	0
3	John Lineker	17 / 67	20 / 70	0 / 0	0
3	Ian McCall	16 / 39	16 / 39	0 / 2	0

Ian McCall

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights5

John Lineker

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights16