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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Ian Garry won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1498

Elo1410

Ian GarryvsJordan WilliamsUFC Prediction Result

UFC 268: Usman vs. Covington 2 · Saturday, November 6, 2021New York City, New York, USA

Official fight result

Ian Garry won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:59

Model Prediction: Ian Garry wins(66.6%)

Actual result: Ian Garry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ian Garry at -425 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Jordan Williams (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Ian Garry

Red Corner

Jordan Williams

Blue Corner

-425

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+320

(24%)

1498

Elo

1410

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'3"

Height

6'1"

187.96 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ian GarryW2 streak

oldest →

vs Darian Weeks · Apr 22

vs Gabe Green · Jul 22

latest

Jordan WilliamsL2 streak

oldest →

vs Nassourdine Imavov · Oct 20

SUBvs Mickey Gall · Jul 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ian GarryMetricJordan Williams

—

Strikes / min

5.83

—

Strikes absorbed / min

5.46

—

Strike defense

35%

—

TDs / 15 min

1.11

—

Takedown defense

85%

—

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Ian GarryJordan Williams

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Ian Garry(3 fights)Jordan Williams(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +87.5|Blue -87.5

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +49.4|Blue -49.4

Grappler Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ian Garry

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights3

Jordan Williams

StanceSouthpaw

Height73.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights3