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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ian Garry won · U-DEC R3
Elo1498
Ian Garry
Elo1505

Ian GarryvsGabe GreenUFC Prediction Result

UFC 276: Adesanya vs. Cannonier · Saturday, July 2, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Ian Garry won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ian Garry wins(53.1%)

Actual result: Ian Garry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ian Garry at -190 American odds

+$53 profit

$153 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Gabe Green (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Ian Garry
Red Corner
VS
Gabe Green
Blue Corner
-190
(66%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
1498
Elo
1505
24
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
5'10"
187.96 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ian GarryW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jordan Williams · Nov 21
W
vs Darian Weeks · Apr 22
latest
Gabe Green
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · May 20
W
vs Philip Rowe · Feb 21
W
KOvs Yohan Lainesse · Apr 22
L
KOvs Bryan Battle · May 23
W
SUBvs Matheus Camilo · May 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ian GarryMetricGabe Green
—
Strikes / min
5.60
—
Strikes absorbed / min
6.19
—
Strike defense
47%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.71
—
Takedown defense
50%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1533 vs 1520Strikes5.5 vs 6.3Takedowns0.8 vs 0.8Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.30Form1.0 vs 0.8
Ian GarryGabe Green

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ian Garry(3 fights)Gabe Green(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -7.6|Blue +7.6
Recent Form
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red +21.0|Blue -21.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ian Garry

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Gabe Green

StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6