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Welterweight
3 Rounds
Ian Garry won · U-DEC R3
Elo1498
Ian Garry
Elo1433

Ian GarryvsDarian WeeksUFC Prediction Result

UFC 273: Volkanovski vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, April 9, 2022Jacksonville, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Ian Garry won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Ian Garry wins(61.2%)

Actual result: Ian Garry wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Ian Garry at -410 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Ian Garry
Red Corner
VS
Darian Weeks
Blue Corner
-410
(80%)
Vegas Odds
+310
(24%)
1498
Elo
1433
24
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ian GarryW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Jordan Williams · Nov 21
W
vs Gabe Green · Jul 22
latest
Darian WeeksL2 streak
oldest →
L
vs Bryan Barberena · Dec 21
L
vs Yohan Lainesse · Sep 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ian GarryMetricDarian Weeks
—
Strikes / min
4.49
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.56
—
Strike defense
51%
—
TDs / 15 min
2.00
—
Takedown defense
100%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1482Strikes5.5 vs 4.5Takedowns0.8 vs 2.0Sub Atts0.30 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs -1.0
Ian GarryDarian Weeks

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Ian Garry(3 fights)Darian Weeks(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +64.3|Blue -64.3
Recent Form
Red +1.9|Blue -1.9
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +28.0|Blue -28.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Ian Garry

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3

Darian Weeks

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3