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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Alejandro Perez won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1490
Ian Entwistle
Elo1495

Ian EntwistlevsAlejandro PerezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Alejandro Perez won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:04

Model Prediction: Alejandro Perez wins(55.9%)

Actual result: Alejandro Perez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Alejandro Perez at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Alejandro Perez has 30pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Alejandro Perez has 70pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Ian Entwistle
Red Corner
VS
Alejandro Perez
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1490
Elo
1495
39
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'6"
162.56 cm
Reach
170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Ian Entwistle
oldest →
L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jun 14
W
SUBvs Anthony Birchak · Dec 14
latest
Alejandro Perez
oldest →
W
vs Eddie Wineland · Jul 18
L
vs Cody Stamann · Mar 19
L
KOvs Song Yadong · Jul 19
W
SUBvs Johnny Eduardo · Oct 21
L
vs Jonathan Martinez · Feb 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Ian EntwistleMetricAlejandro Perez
0.11
Strikes / min
3.45
7.36
Strikes absorbed / min
3.18
31%
Strike defense
61%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.54
0%
Takedown defense
70%
12.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-7.25Δ 7.52 — meaningful gap+0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1501 vs 1512Strikes0.5 vs 25.7Takedowns0.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts3.00 vs 0.33Form0.2 vs 0.3
Ian EntwistleAlejandro Perez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Ian Entwistle(3 fights)Alejandro Perez(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -4.3|Blue +4.3
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red -1.2|Blue +1.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red +343.0|Blue -343.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Ian EntwistleTargetAlejandro Perez

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
48
72% acc · 100%
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0

By position

0
0% acc
Distance
2
50% acc · 4%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
46
73% acc · 96%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Ian Entwistle rounds
0
even
1
Alejandro Perez rounds
Round 1Alejandro Perez edged it
Sig. strikes0
Takedowns0
Control0:12
48Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:46Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
0 / 2
Sig Strikes
48 / 67
0%
Sig Str %
71%
0 / 2
Total Strikes
87 / 115
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
1
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:12
Ctrl Time
1:46

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Alejandro Perez48 / 6787 / 1150 / 00
1Ian Entwistle0 / 20 / 20 / 11

Ian Entwistle

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach—
Fights3

Alejandro Perez

StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights12