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Flyweight

3 Rounds

HyunSung Park won · SUB R1

Elo1491

Elo1489

HyunSung ParkvsCarlos HernandezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · Saturday, May 17, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

HyunSung Park won

SUB · Round 1 · 2:26

Style matchupHyunSung Park: Submission grapplervsCarlos Hernandez: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters can dictate where this happens. The grappler needs scrambles to find their entries.

Model Prediction: HyunSung Park wins(70.9%)

Actual result: HyunSung Park wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

HyunSung Park at -194 American odds

+$52 profit

$152 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

HyunSung Park threatens submissions; Carlos Hernandez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Carlos Hernandez has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

HyunSung Park

Red Corner

Carlos Hernandez

Blue Corner

-194

(66%)

Vegas Odds

+162

(38%)

1491

Elo

1489

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

HyunSung ParkL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs SeungGuk Choi · Feb 23

KOvs Shannon Ross · Dec 23

SUBvs Tatsuro Taira · Aug 25

SUBvs Bruno Silva · Oct 25

latest

Carlos Hernandez

oldest →

SUBvs Allan Nascimento · Jan 23

vs Denys Bondar · Jun 23

KOvs Tatsuro Taira · Dec 23

vs Rei Tsuruya · Jun 24

vs Nyamjargal Tumendemberel · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

HyunSung ParkMetricCarlos Hernandez

3.38

Strikes / min

3.83

3.14

Strikes absorbed / min

3.50

55%

Strike defense

50%

1.50

TDs / 15 min

1.56

47%

Takedown defense

65%

1.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.24evenly matched on net striking+0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

HyunSung ParkCarlos Hernandez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

HyunSung Park(5 fights)Carlos Hernandez(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.5|Blue -2.5

Recent Form

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Layoff

Red +350.0|Blue -350.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

HyunSung ParkTargetCarlos Hernandez

By target zone

38% acc · 36%

Head

13% acc · 50%

100% acc · 43%

Body

100% acc · 21%

Leg

100% acc · 50%

By position

58% acc · 79%

Distance

24% acc · 100%

100% acc · 21%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

HyunSung Park rounds

even

Carlos Hernandez rounds

Round 1HyunSung Park edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control0:33

4Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

14 / 22

Sig Strikes

4 / 17

63%

Sig Str %

23%

17 / 27

Total Strikes

4 / 17

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:33

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Carlos Hernandez	4 / 17	4 / 17	0 / 0	0
1	HyunSung Park	14 / 22	17 / 27	1 / 1	1

HyunSung Park

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights5

Carlos Hernandez

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights7