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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Neil Magny won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1362

Elo1505

Hyun Gyu LimvsNeil MagnyUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Edgar vs Faber · Saturday, May 16, 2015Manila, Philippines

Official fight result

Neil Magny won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 1:24

Style matchupHyun Gyu Lim: Pressure fightervsNeil Magny: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(67.3%)

Actual result: Neil Magny wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Neil Magny at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hyun Gyu Lim has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Hyun Gyu Lim

Red Corner

Neil Magny

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1362

Elo

1505

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

203.2 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hyun Gyu LimL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Pascal Krauss · Aug 13

vs Tarec Saffiedine · Jan 14

KOvs Takenori Sato · Sep 14

KOvs Mike Perry · Aug 16

vs Daichi Abe · Sep 17

latest

Neil Magny

oldest →

KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24

KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24

KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25

SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25

SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hyun Gyu LimMetricNeil Magny

4.45

Strikes / min

3.40

5.07

Strikes absorbed / min

2.44

51%

Strike defense

51%

0.23

TDs / 15 min

2.17

73%

Takedown defense

55%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.62Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap+0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hyun Gyu LimNeil Magny

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hyun Gyu Lim(7 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -143.5|Blue +143.5

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hyun Gyu LimTargetNeil Magny

By target zone

38% acc · 80%

Head

53% acc · 79%

67% acc · 13%

Body

50% acc · 5%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 16%

By position

32% acc · 47%

Distance

36% acc · 19%

57% acc · 53%

Clinch

82% acc · 21%

Ground

62% acc · 60%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hyun Gyu Lim rounds

even

Neil Magny rounds

Round 1Neil Magny edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:33

25Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:18Control

Round 2Neil Magny edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:51Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 36

Sig Strikes

43 / 75

21%

Sig Str %

56.5%

15 / 36

Total Strikes

64 / 102

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 4

—

TD %

66.5%

Sub Att

Rev

0:33

Ctrl Time

3:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Neil Magny	25 / 42	44 / 67	1 / 3
1	Hyun Gyu Lim	15 / 35	15 / 35	0 / 0
2	Neil Magny	18 / 33	20 / 35	1 / 1
2	Hyun Gyu Lim	0 / 1	0 / 1	0 / 0

Hyun Gyu Lim

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights7

Neil Magny

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach80.0"

Fights37