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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Hyder Amil won · S-DEC R3

Elo1472

Elo1506

Hyder AmilvsWilliam GomisUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · Saturday, March 1, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Hyder Amil won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHyder Amil: Pressure fightervsWilliam Gomis: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Hyder Amil wins(53.7%)

Actual result: Hyder Amil wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hyder Amil at +176 American odds

+$176 profit

$276 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hyder Amil enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
William Gomis has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Hyder Amil (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Hyder Amil

Red Corner

William Gomis

Blue Corner

+176

(36%)

Vegas Odds

-210

(68%)

1472

Elo

1506

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

6'0"

177.8 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hyder AmilL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Fernie Garcia · Feb 24

KOvs JeongYeong Lee · Jul 24

KOvs Jose Delgado · Jun 25

vs Jamall Emmers · Nov 25

SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jun 26

latest

William Gomis

oldest →

vs Francis Marshall · Apr 23

KOvs Yanis Ghemmouri · Sep 23

vs Joanderson Brito · Sep 24

vs Robert Ruchala · Sep 25

DECvs Pat Sabatini · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hyder AmilMetricWilliam Gomis

5.81

Strikes / min

3.20

3.95

Strikes absorbed / min

2.60

51%

Strike defense

61%

0.56

TDs / 15 min

0.73

65%

Takedown defense

77%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.86Δ 1.26 — meaningful gap+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hyder AmilWilliam Gomis

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hyder Amil(6 fights)William Gomis(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -33.5|Blue +33.5

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +70.0|Blue -70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hyder AmilTargetWilliam Gomis

By target zone

43% acc · 52%

Head

45% acc · 59%

88% acc · 32%

Body

69% acc · 27%

90% acc · 16%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

54% acc · 85%

Distance

53% acc · 89%

75% acc · 13%

Clinch

61% acc · 11%

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hyder Amil rounds

even

William Gomis rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:46

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:15Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes45

Takedowns0

Control0:45

48Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Hyder Amil edged it

Sig. strikes52

Takedowns1

Control1:12

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

115 / 202

Sig Strikes

101 / 187

54.7%

Sig Str %

52%

164 / 262

Total Strikes

116 / 205

1 / 6

TDs

0 / 3

16.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:43

Ctrl Time

1:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	William Gomis	19 / 46	33 / 62	0 / 2
1	Hyder Amil	18 / 38	31 / 56	0 / 2
2	William Gomis	48 / 70	49 / 71	0 / 0
2	Hyder Amil	45 / 78	55 / 89	0 / 2
3	William Gomis	34 / 71	34 / 72	0 / 1
3	Hyder Amil	52 / 86	78 / 117	1 / 2

Hyder Amil

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights6

William Gomis

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights7