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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jose Delgado won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1472
Elo1559
Jose Delgado editorial illustration

Hyder AmilvsJose DelgadoUFC Prediction Result

UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · Saturday, June 28, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jose Delgado won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 0:26

Style matchupHyder Amil: Pressure fightervsJose Delgado: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Jose Delgado wins(63.2%)

Actual result: Jose Delgado wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jose Delgado at -136 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Hyder Amil has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Jose Delgado has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Hyder Amil
Red Corner
VS
Jose Delgado
Blue Corner
+116
(46%)
Vegas Odds
-136
(58%)
1472
Elo
1559
36
Age
28
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'9"
Height
5'11"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hyder AmilL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Fernie Garcia · Feb 24
W
KOvs JeongYeong Lee · Jul 24
W
vs William Gomis · Mar 25
L
vs Jamall Emmers · Nov 25
L
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jun 26
latest
Jose DelgadoW2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Connor Matthews · Feb 25
L
vs Nathaniel Wood · Oct 25
W
vs Andre Fili · Mar 26
W
DECvs Austin Bashi · Jul 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hyder AmilMetricJose Delgado
5.81
Strikes / min
7.48
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
4.95
51%
Strike defense
50%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
1.51
65%
Takedown defense
50%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.86evenly matched on net striking+2.53

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1548 vs 1515Strikes5.8 vs 7.5Takedowns0.6 vs 1.5Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 1.0
Hyder AmilJose Delgado

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601488151515431570← oldermost recent →
Hyder Amil(6 fights)Jose Delgado(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -86.6|Blue +86.6
Recent Form
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hyder AmilTargetJose Delgado

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
7
78% acc · 78%
0
Body
2
100% acc · 22%
3
100% acc · 100%
Leg
0

By position

3
60% acc · 100%
Distance
4
80% acc · 44%
0
Clinch
2
67% acc · 22%
0
Ground
3
100% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Hyder Amil rounds
0
even
1
Jose Delgado rounds
Round 1Jose Delgado edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
3 / 5
Sig Strikes
9 / 11
60%
Sig Str %
81%
3 / 5
Total Strikes
9 / 11
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 1
0%
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:02

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jose Delgado9 / 119 / 110 / 10
1Hyder Amil3 / 53 / 50 / 10

Hyder Amil

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6

Jose Delgado

StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5