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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jamall Emmers won · U-DEC R3
Elo1472
Elo1517

Hyder AmilvsJamall EmmersUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · Saturday, November 8, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamall Emmers won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHyder Amil: Pressure fightervsJamall Emmers: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamall Emmers wins(55.3%)

Actual result: Jamall Emmers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamall Emmers at +124 American odds

+$124 profit

$224 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jamall Emmers has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Hyder Amil (52.9%).
  • Jamall Emmers has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Hyder Amil
Red Corner
VS
Jamall Emmers
Blue Corner
-146
(59%)
Vegas Odds
+124
(45%)
1472
Elo
1517
36
Age
37
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hyder AmilL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Fernie Garcia · Feb 24
W
KOvs JeongYeong Lee · Jul 24
W
vs William Gomis · Mar 25
L
KOvs Jose Delgado · Jun 25
L
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jun 26
latest
Jamall Emmers
oldest →
W
vs Khusein Askhabov · Feb 23
L
vs Jack Jenkins · Jun 23
W
KOvs Dennis Buzukja · Nov 23
L
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Mar 24
W
KOvs Gabriel Miranda · Mar 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hyder AmilMetricJamall Emmers
5.81
Strikes / min
5.10
3.95
Strikes absorbed / min
3.92
51%
Strike defense
57%
0.56
TDs / 15 min
2.59
65%
Takedown defense
81%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.86evenly matched on net striking+1.18

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1531 vs 1504Strikes5.8 vs 5.1Takedowns0.6 vs 2.6Sub Atts0.80 vs 0.30Form0.2 vs 0.4
Hyder AmilJamall Emmers

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601480150015201540← oldermost recent →
Hyder Amil(6 fights)Jamall Emmers(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -45.1|Blue +45.1
Recent Form
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hyder AmilTargetJamall Emmers

By target zone

28
30% acc · 60%
Head
37
45% acc · 74%
7
54% acc · 15%
Body
13
76% acc · 26%
12
67% acc · 26%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

44
37% acc · 94%
Distance
38
46% acc · 76%
3
50% acc · 6%
Clinch
3
75% acc · 6%
0
Ground
9
64% acc · 18%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Hyder Amil rounds
1
even
2
Jamall Emmers rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns0
Control0:17
28Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:25Control
Round 2Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control0:00
13Sig. strikes
3Takedowns
3:20Control
Round 3Jamall Emmers edged it
Sig. strikes2
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:50Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
47 / 125
Sig Strikes
50 / 101
36.7%
Sig Str %
56%
80 / 164
Total Strikes
83 / 141
0 / 1
TDs
7 / 8
0%
TD %
91.7%
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:17
Ctrl Time
8:35

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Jamall Emmers28 / 6528 / 652 / 20
1Hyder Amil33 / 9037 / 950 / 10
2Jamall Emmers13 / 2331 / 433 / 40
2Hyder Amil12 / 2936 / 580 / 00
3Jamall Emmers9 / 1324 / 332 / 21
3Hyder Amil2 / 67 / 110 / 00

Hyder Amil

StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6

Jamall Emmers

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9