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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jack Shore won · S-DEC

Elo1493

Elo1496

Hunter AzurevsJack ShoreUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Holland · Saturday, April 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jack Shore won

S-DEC

Style matchupHunter Azure: Submission grapplervsJack Shore: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jack Shore wins(68.6%)

Actual result: Jack Shore wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jack Shore at -185 American odds

+$54 profit

$154 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Hunter Azure

Red Corner

Jack Shore

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-185

(65%)

1493

Elo

1496

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hunter Azure

oldest →

vs Brad Katona · Sep 19

KOvs Brian Kelleher · May 20

vs Cole Smith · Sep 20

latest

Jack ShoreL2 streak

oldest →

vs Timur Valiev · Mar 22

SUBvs Ricky Simon · Jul 22

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Mar 23

KOvs Joanderson Brito · May 24

SUBvs Youssef Zalal · Nov 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hunter AzureMetricJack Shore

3.92

Strikes / min

3.60

2.08

Strikes absorbed / min

2.31

58%

Strike defense

56%

1.97

TDs / 15 min

3.22

67%

Takedown defense

74%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.84evenly matched on net striking+1.29

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hunter AzureJack Shore

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hunter Azure(4 fights)Jack Shore(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -2.4|Blue +2.4

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -52.0|Blue +52.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hunter AzureTargetJack Shore

By target zone

32% acc · 27%

Head

57% acc · 67%

74% acc · 31%

Body

100% acc · 11%

79% acc · 42%

Leg

73% acc · 22%

By position

55% acc · 78%

Distance

63% acc · 75%

55% acc · 13%

Clinch

60% acc · 17%

80% acc · 9%

Ground

75% acc · 8%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hunter Azure rounds

even

Jack Shore rounds

Round 1Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control1:01

11Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:50Control

Round 2Hunter Azure edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control1:54

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:08Control

Round 3Jack Shore edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:07

11Sig. strikes

3Takedowns

2:19Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

45 / 80

Sig Strikes

36 / 57

54.3%

Sig Str %

62.7%

78 / 121

Total Strikes

57 / 84

0 / 6

TDs

6 / 13

TD %

46.7%

Sub Att

Rev

4:02

Ctrl Time

5:17

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jack Shore	11 / 17	15 / 23	2 / 5	0
1	Hunter Azure	14 / 27	20 / 35	0 / 1	0
2	Jack Shore	14 / 23	22 / 33	1 / 2	0
2	Hunter Azure	23 / 37	41 / 59	0 / 1	1
3	Jack Shore	11 / 17	20 / 28	3 / 6	0
3	Hunter Azure	8 / 16	17 / 27	0 / 4	0

Hunter Azure

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights4

Jack Shore

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9