Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Guido Cannetti won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1497

Hugo VianavsGuido CannettiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 190: Rousey vs Correia · Saturday, August 1, 2015Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Guido Cannetti won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHugo Viana: StrikervsGuido Cannetti: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Hugo Viana wins(64.4%)

Actual result: Guido Cannetti wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hugo Viana at -600 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Guido Cannetti (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Hugo Viana

Red Corner

Guido Cannetti

Blue Corner

-600

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+450

(18%)

1355

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'6"

Height

5'6"

170.18 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hugo Viana

oldest →

vs John Teixeira · Jun 12

KOvs Reuben Duran · Dec 12

KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Apr 13

DECvs Junior Hernandez · Jan 14

KOvs Aljamain Sterling · Jul 14

latest

Guido Cannetti

oldest →

KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20

vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21

KOvs Kris Moutinho · Mar 22

SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hugo VianaMetricGuido Cannetti

3.05

Strikes / min

3.44

3.20

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

57%

Strike defense

51%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

2.27

50%

Takedown defense

64%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15evenly matched on net striking+0.60

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hugo VianaGuido Cannetti

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hugo Viana(6 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -141.7|Blue +141.7

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +122.0|Blue -122.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hugo VianaTargetGuido Cannetti

By target zone

33% acc · 69%

Head

46% acc · 41%

43% acc · 23%

Body

89% acc · 53%

25% acc · 8%

Leg

50% acc · 6%

By position

19% acc · 31%

Distance

56% acc · 47%

40% acc · 15%

Clinch

81% acc · 41%

58% acc · 54%

Ground

50% acc · 13%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hugo Viana rounds

even

Guido Cannetti rounds

Round 1Guido Cannetti edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control2:14

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:36Control

Round 2Guido Cannetti edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns1

Control2:12

14Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:20Control

Round 3Guido Cannetti edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control1:37

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:01Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

13 / 38

Sig Strikes

32 / 51

27.7%

Sig Str %

64.3%

42 / 68

Total Strikes

47 / 67

1 / 15

TDs

4 / 7

8.3%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

6:03

Ctrl Time

3:57

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Guido Cannetti	8 / 16	10 / 18	0 / 1
1	Hugo Viana	1 / 12	5 / 16	0 / 5
2	Guido Cannetti	14 / 23	20 / 30	2 / 2
2	Hugo Viana	11 / 22	25 / 36	1 / 4
3	Guido Cannetti	10 / 12	17 / 19	2 / 4
3	Hugo Viana	1 / 4	12 / 16	0 / 6

Hugo Viana

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Guido Cannetti

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10