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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Aljamain Sterling won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1355

Elo1524

Hugo VianavsAljamain SterlingUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs Miller · Wednesday, July 16, 2014Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA

Official fight result

Aljamain Sterling won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:50

Style matchupHugo Viana: StrikervsAljamain Sterling: Wrestler

Classic striker-vs-wrestler. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Aljamain Sterling wins(87.9%)

Actual result: Aljamain Sterling wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Aljamain Sterling at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Aljamain Sterling has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Hugo Viana

Red Corner

Aljamain Sterling

Blue Corner

+230

(30%)

Vegas Odds

-250

(71%)

1355

Elo

1524

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hugo Viana

oldest →

vs John Teixeira · Jun 12

KOvs Reuben Duran · Dec 12

KOvs TJ Dillashaw · Apr 13

DECvs Junior Hernandez · Jan 14

vs Guido Cannetti · Aug 15

latest

Aljamain SterlingW2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Sean O'Malley · Aug 23

vs Calvin Kattar · Apr 24

vs Movsar Evloev · Dec 24

vs Brian Ortega · Aug 25

DECvs Youssef Zalal · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hugo VianaMetricAljamain Sterling

3.05

Strikes / min

4.26

3.20

Strikes absorbed / min

2.15

57%

Strike defense

59%

0.22

TDs / 15 min

2.54

50%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.15Δ 2.26 — meaningful gap+2.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hugo VianaAljamain Sterling

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hugo Viana(6 fights)Aljamain Sterling(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -169.2|Blue +169.2

Recent Form

Red -0.5|Blue +0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +28.0|Blue -28.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hugo VianaTargetAljamain Sterling

By target zone

25% acc · 60%

Head

58% acc · 63%

33% acc · 13%

Body

76% acc · 26%

100% acc · 27%

Leg

70% acc · 11%

By position

28% acc · 80%

Distance

31% acc · 16%

100% acc · 20%

Clinch

86% acc · 19%

Ground

77% acc · 65%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hugo Viana rounds

even

Aljamain Sterling rounds

Round 1Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:58Control

Round 2Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:07Control

Round 3Aljamain Sterling edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

28Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:29Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 46

Sig Strikes

62 / 98

22.3%

Sig Str %

62.7%

22 / 54

Total Strikes

94 / 132

0 / 0

TDs

4 / 4

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

8:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Aljamain Sterling	16 / 33	20 / 37	1 / 1
1	Hugo Viana	10 / 29	13 / 32	0 / 0
2	Aljamain Sterling	18 / 26	34 / 44	2 / 2
2	Hugo Viana	5 / 15	9 / 20	0 / 0
3	Aljamain Sterling	28 / 39	40 / 51	1 / 1
3	Hugo Viana	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 0

Hugo Viana

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights6

Aljamain Sterling

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights23