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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Rashad Coulter won · U-DEC R3

Elo1410

Elo1491

Hu YaozongvsRashad CoulterUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Ngannou 2 · Saturday, November 24, 2018Beijing, China

Official fight result

Rashad Coulter won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Rashad Coulter wins(56.7%)

Actual result: Rashad Coulter wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rashad Coulter at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Rashad Coulter enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rashad Coulter has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Rashad Coulter has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Rashad Coulter has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Hu Yaozong

Red Corner

Rashad Coulter

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+105

(49%)

1410

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

5'11"

182.88 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hu YaozongL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Cyril Asker · Nov 17

SUBvs Andre Petroski · Oct 21

latest

Rashad CoulterL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Chase Sherman · May 17

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Nov 17

KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Jun 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hu YaozongMetricRashad Coulter

3.35

Strikes / min

4.82

5.09

Strikes absorbed / min

6.68

35%

Strike defense

50%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

33%

Takedown defense

62%

0.40

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.74evenly matched on net striking-1.86

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hu YaozongRashad Coulter

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hu Yaozong(3 fights)Rashad Coulter(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -80.9|Blue +80.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +196.0|Blue -196.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hu YaozongTargetRashad Coulter

By target zone

33% acc · 36%

Head

58% acc · 82%

83% acc · 26%

Body

100% acc · 12%

76% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

50% acc · 76%

Distance

57% acc · 70%

67% acc · 24%

Clinch

82% acc · 28%

Ground

67% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hu Yaozong rounds

even

Rashad Coulter rounds

Round 1Rashad Coulter edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control2:30

Knockdowns0

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Hu Yaozong edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control1:20

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Hu Yaozong edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control1:32

41Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

92 / 174

Sig Strikes

98 / 157

52.3%

Sig Str %

62%

98 / 183

Total Strikes

108 / 167

0 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:22

Ctrl Time

0:12

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Rashad Coulter	33 / 52	41 / 60	0 / 0
1	Hu Yaozong	24 / 43	26 / 45	0 / 1
2	Rashad Coulter	24 / 40	25 / 41	0 / 0
2	Hu Yaozong	27 / 60	30 / 66	0 / 0
3	Rashad Coulter	41 / 65	42 / 66	0 / 0
3	Hu Yaozong	41 / 71	42 / 72	0 / 0

Hu Yaozong

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights3

Rashad Coulter

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights4