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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Andre Petroski won · SUB R3
Elo1410
Hu Yaozong
Elo1485
Andre Petroski

Hu YaozongvsAndre PetroskiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · Saturday, October 30, 2021Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Andre Petroski won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:46

Model Prediction: Andre Petroski wins(90.5%)

Actual result: Andre Petroski wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Andre Petroski at -220 American odds

+$45 profit

$145 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Andre Petroski enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Andre Petroski has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Andre Petroski has 53pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Andre Petroski (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Hu Yaozong
Red Corner
VS
Andre Petroski
Blue Corner
+180
(36%)
Vegas Odds
-220
(69%)
1410
Elo
1485
31
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'3"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hu YaozongL2 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Cyril Asker · Nov 17
L
vs Rashad Coulter · Nov 18
latest
Andre PetroskiL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Dylan Budka · Sep 24
W
vs Rodolfo Vieira · Feb 25
L
vs Edmen Shahbazyan · Jun 25
L
KOvs Cam Rowston · Sep 25
L
KOvs Cody Brundage · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hu YaozongMetricAndre Petroski
3.35
Strikes / min
2.81
5.09
Strikes absorbed / min
2.79
35%
Strike defense
53%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
3.15
33%
Takedown defense
86%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.74Δ 1.76 — meaningful gap+0.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1469 vs 1519Strikes3.4 vs 3.0Takedowns0.0 vs 4.1Sub Atts0.40 vs 2.00Form-1.0 vs 1.0
Hu YaozongAndre Petroski

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Hu Yaozong(3 fights)Andre Petroski(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -74.5|Blue +74.5
Recent Form
Red -2.0|Blue +2.0
Striker Score
Red -0.0|Blue +0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Layoff
Red +1008.0|Blue -1008.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hu YaozongTargetAndre Petroski

By target zone

17
30% acc · 68%
Head
60
68% acc · 83%
6
100% acc · 24%
Body
10
83% acc · 14%
2
100% acc · 8%
Leg
2
100% acc · 3%

By position

24
38% acc · 96%
Distance
42
63% acc · 58%
1
100% acc · 4%
Clinch
0
0
Ground
30
86% acc · 42%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Hu Yaozong rounds
0
even
3
Andre Petroski rounds
Round 1Andre Petroski edged it
Sig. strikes18
Takedowns0
Control0:05
34Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:33Control
Round 2Andre Petroski edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
15Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
4:15Control
Round 3Andre Petroski edged it
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:08
23Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
3:51Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
25 / 65
Sig Strikes
72 / 102
43.3%
Sig Str %
74.3%
27 / 67
Total Strikes
79 / 111
0 / 0
TDs
4 / 8
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
6
0
Rev
1
0:13
Ctrl Time
9:39

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Andre Petroski34 / 5634 / 560 / 22
1Hu Yaozong18 / 4818 / 480 / 00
2Andre Petroski15 / 2119 / 252 / 23
2Hu Yaozong4 / 126 / 140 / 00
3Andre Petroski23 / 2526 / 302 / 41
3Hu Yaozong3 / 53 / 50 / 00

Hu Yaozong

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3

Andre Petroski

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights12