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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Henry Martinez won · S-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1351

Henry MartinezvsBernardo MagalhaesUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · Friday, June 8, 2012Sunrise, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Henry Martinez won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Henry Martinez wins(61.8%)

Actual result: Henry Martinez wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Henry Martinez at -230 American odds

+$43 profit

$143 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Martinez has 80pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Henry Martinez (53.5%).
Henry Martinez has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Henry Martinez

Red Corner

Bernardo Magalhaes

Blue Corner

-230

(70%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1490

Elo

1351

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

175.26 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henry MartinezL2 streak

oldest →

vs Matthew Riddle · Feb 12

KOvs Daron Cruickshank · Dec 12

latest

Bernardo Magalhaes

oldest →

vs Tim Means · Feb 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henry MartinezMetricBernardo Magalhaes

2.79

Strikes / min

1.80

4.01

Strikes absorbed / min

3.37

60%

Strike defense

68%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

80%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.22evenly matched on net striking-1.57

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Henry MartinezBernardo Magalhaes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henry Martinez(3 fights)Bernardo Magalhaes(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.7|Blue -138.7

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +11.0|Blue -11.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henry MartinezTargetBernardo Magalhaes

By target zone

9% acc · 72%

Head

11% acc · 46%

33% acc · 6%

Body

27% acc · 15%

100% acc · 22%

Leg

83% acc · 38%

By position

12% acc · 100%

Distance

20% acc · 100%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henry Martinez rounds

even

Bernardo Magalhaes rounds

Round 1Henry Martinez edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:12

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Bernardo Magalhaes edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:02

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Fight Stats

Totals

18 / 146

Sig Strikes

26 / 132

11.3%

Sig Str %

19%

18 / 146

Total Strikes

26 / 132

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 7

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:14

Ctrl Time

0:01

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Bernardo Magalhaes	8 / 41	8 / 41	0 / 3	1
1	Henry Martinez	10 / 57	10 / 57	0 / 0	0
2	Bernardo Magalhaes	7 / 37	7 / 37	0 / 2	0
2	Henry Martinez	6 / 44	6 / 44	0 / 0	0
3	Bernardo Magalhaes	11 / 54	11 / 54	0 / 2	0
3	Henry Martinez	2 / 45	2 / 45	0 / 0	0

Henry Martinez

StanceSouthpaw

Height67.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights3

Bernardo Magalhaes

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights2