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Bantamweight

5 Rounds

Song Yadong won · U-DEC R3

Elo1472

Elo1518

Henry CejudovsSong YadongUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Song · Saturday, February 22, 2025Seattle, Washington, USA

Official fight result

Song Yadong won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHenry Cejudo: Well-roundedvsSong Yadong: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Song Yadong wins(60.1%)

Actual result: Song Yadong wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Song Yadong at -255 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Cejudo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Henry Cejudo

Red Corner

Song Yadong

Blue Corner

+210

(32%)

Vegas Odds

-255

(72%)

1472

Elo

1518

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'8"

162.56 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henry CejudoL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Marlon Moraes · Jun 19

KOvs Dominick Cruz · May 20

vs Aljamain Sterling · May 23

vs Merab Dvalishvili · Feb 24

vs Payton Talbott · Dec 25

latest

Song Yadong

oldest →

KOvs Ricky Simon · Apr 23

vs Chris Gutierrez · Dec 23

vs Petr Yan · Mar 24

vs Sean O'Malley · Jan 26

SUBvs Deiveson Figueiredo · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henry CejudoMetricSong Yadong

3.83

Strikes / min

4.42

3.84

Strikes absorbed / min

3.94

57%

Strike defense

55%

1.78

TDs / 15 min

0.78

72%

Takedown defense

73%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.01evenly matched on net striking+0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Henry CejudoSong Yadong

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henry Cejudo(10 fights)Song Yadong(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -45.6|Blue +45.6

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +21.0|Blue -21.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henry CejudoTargetSong Yadong

By target zone

40% acc · 60%

Head

35% acc · 55%

67% acc · 18%

Body

67% acc · 17%

100% acc · 22%

Leg

100% acc · 29%

By position

51% acc · 100%

Distance

47% acc · 98%

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henry Cejudo rounds

even

Song Yadong rounds

Round 1Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Song Yadong edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 133

Sig Strikes

84 / 178

50.3%

Sig Str %

50.7%

67 / 133

Total Strikes

84 / 178

0 / 3

TDs

0 / 1

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Song Yadong	21 / 31	21 / 31	0 / 0
1	Henry Cejudo	13 / 25	13 / 25	0 / 1
2	Song Yadong	33 / 69	33 / 69	0 / 1
2	Henry Cejudo	29 / 55	29 / 55	0 / 2
3	Song Yadong	30 / 78	30 / 78	0 / 0
3	Henry Cejudo	25 / 53	25 / 53	0 / 0

Henry Cejudo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights16

Song Yadong

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights17