Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Henry Briones won · SUB R2

Elo1365

Elo1497

Henry BrionesvsGuido CannettiUFC Prediction Result

UFC 180: Werdum vs Hunt · Saturday, November 15, 2014Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Henry Briones won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:44

Model Prediction: Henry Briones wins(51.9%)

Actual result: Henry Briones wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Henry Briones at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Briones enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Henry Briones threatens submissions; Guido Cannetti has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Stance matchup historically favors Guido Cannetti (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Henry Briones

Red Corner

Guido Cannetti

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1365

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'8"

Height

5'6"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henry BrionesL4 streak

oldest →

vs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 15

KOvs Douglas Silva de Andrade · Nov 16

SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 17

vs Frankie Saenz · May 18

latest

Guido Cannetti

oldest →

KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20

vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21

KOvs Kris Moutinho · Mar 22

SUBvs Randy Costa · Oct 22

SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henry BrionesMetricGuido Cannetti

3.47

Strikes / min

3.44

4.68

Strikes absorbed / min

2.84

53%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.27

52%

Takedown defense

64%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.21Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+0.60

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henry Briones(5 fights)Guido Cannetti(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -131.4|Blue +131.4

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henry BrionesTargetGuido Cannetti

By target zone

42% acc · 59%

Head

32% acc · 43%

69% acc · 34%

Body

71% acc · 43%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

100% acc · 14%

By position

37% acc · 44%

Distance

42% acc · 60%

77% acc · 31%

Clinch

63% acc · 34%

67% acc · 25%

Ground

50% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henry Briones rounds

even

Guido Cannetti rounds

Round 1Guido Cannetti edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:16

30Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:14Control

Round 2Henry Briones edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control0:18

Knockdowns1

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:08Control

0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 63

Sig Strikes

35 / 73

50.5%

Sig Str %

41.5%

52 / 86

Total Strikes

36 / 74

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 2

—

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:34

Ctrl Time

1:22

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Guido Cannetti	30 / 57	31 / 58	1 / 2	0
1	Henry Briones	17 / 32	30 / 45	0 / 0	0
2	Guido Cannetti	5 / 16	5 / 16	0 / 0	0
2	Henry Briones	15 / 31	22 / 41	0 / 0	1

Henry Briones

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5

Guido Cannetti

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights10