Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Douglas Silva de Andrade won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1365

Elo1484

Henry BrionesvsDouglas Silva de AndradeUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Ferguson · Saturday, November 5, 2016Mexico City, Distrito Federal, Mexico

Official fight result

Douglas Silva de Andrade won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 2:33

Model Prediction: Henry Briones wins(64.3%)

Actual result: Douglas Silva de Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Henry Briones at -105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henry Briones enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Douglas Silva de Andrade has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Henry Briones

Red Corner

Douglas Silva de Andrade

Blue Corner

-105

(51%)

Vegas Odds

-115

(53%)

1365

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henry BrionesL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Guido Cannetti · Nov 14

vs Cody Garbrandt · Jul 15

SUBvs Rani Yahya · Aug 17

vs Frankie Saenz · May 18

latest

Douglas Silva de AndradeL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Sergey Morozov · Feb 22

vs Said Nurmagomedov · Jul 22

vs Cody Stamann · May 23

vs Miles Johns · Jun 24

KOvs Javier Reyes · Feb 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henry BrionesMetricDouglas Silva de Andrade

3.47

Strikes / min

3.54

4.68

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

53%

Strike defense

56%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.54

52%

Takedown defense

71%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.21evenly matched on net striking-0.55

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Henry BrionesDouglas Silva de Andrade

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henry Briones(5 fights)Douglas Silva de Andrade(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -118.7|Blue +118.7

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -139.0|Blue +139.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henry BrionesTargetDouglas Silva de Andrade

By target zone

33% acc · 49%

Head

41% acc · 79%

78% acc · 46%

Body

62% acc · 11%

75% acc · 4%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

46% acc · 94%

Distance

44% acc · 94%

57% acc · 6%

Clinch

75% acc · 4%

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henry Briones rounds

even

Douglas Silva de Andrade rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:00

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control0:02

31Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:08Control

Round 3Douglas Silva de Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:01Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

67 / 144

Sig Strikes

72 / 158

45.3%

Sig Str %

46.3%

69 / 146

Total Strikes

72 / 158

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 1

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:02

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Douglas Silva de Andrade	22 / 46	22 / 46	0 / 0
1	Henry Briones	23 / 49	23 / 49	0 / 1
2	Douglas Silva de Andrade	31 / 75	31 / 75	1 / 1
2	Henry Briones	26 / 51	28 / 53	0 / 0
3	Douglas Silva de Andrade	19 / 37	19 / 37	0 / 0
3	Henry Briones	18 / 44	18 / 44	0 / 0

Henry Briones

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights5

Douglas Silva de Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights14