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Light Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Henrique da Silva won · SUB R2

Elo1362

Henrique da Silva editorial illustration

Elo1491

Henrique da SilvavsJoachim ChristensenUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Saturday, October 1, 2016Portland, Oregon, USA

Official fight result

Henrique da Silva won

SUB · Round 2 · 4:43

Style matchupHenrique da Silva: StrikervsJoachim Christensen: Striker

Two strikers — expect distance work and a kickboxing-style battle.

Model Prediction: Henrique da Silva wins(73.2%)

Actual result: Henrique da Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Henrique da Silva at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Henrique da Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Joachim Christensen is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Henrique da Silva has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Henrique da Silva threatens submissions; Joachim Christensen has lost 100% of fights by sub.
Henrique da Silva has 22pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Henrique da Silva

Red Corner

Joachim Christensen

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1362

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'3"

193.04 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Henrique da SilvaL4 streak

oldest →

KOvs Jonathan Wilson · Jun 16

SUBvs Paul Craig · Dec 16

vs Jordan Johnson · Jan 17

KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 17

KOvs Gokhan Saki · Sep 17

latest

Joachim Christensen

oldest →

KOvs Bojan Mihajlovic · Jan 17

SUBvs Gadzhimurad Antigulov · May 17

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Henrique da SilvaMetricJoachim Christensen

3.89

Strikes / min

3.78

5.28

Strikes absorbed / min

3.29

40%

Strike defense

46%

0.25

TDs / 15 min

0.00

22%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.39Δ 1.88 — meaningful gap+0.49

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Henrique da SilvaJoachim Christensen

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Henrique da Silva(6 fights)Joachim Christensen(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -128.9|Blue +128.9

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Henrique da SilvaTargetJoachim Christensen

By target zone

39% acc · 39%

Head

37% acc · 84%

85% acc · 52%

Body

67% acc · 8%

80% acc · 9%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

51% acc · 57%

Distance

31% acc · 54%

80% acc · 36%

Clinch

61% acc · 22%

43% acc · 7%

Ground

67% acc · 24%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Henrique da Silva rounds

even

Joachim Christensen rounds

Round 1Henrique da Silva edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns0

Control1:34

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Round 2Joachim Christensen edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:17

Knockdowns0

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:18Control

1Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 76

Sig Strikes

50 / 124

57.5%

Sig Str %

40.5%

53 / 85

Total Strikes

96 / 177

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

2:51

Ctrl Time

2:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Joachim Christensen	25 / 69	39 / 86	0 / 0	0
1	Henrique da Silva	26 / 45	30 / 49	0 / 0	0
2	Joachim Christensen	25 / 55	57 / 91	0 / 0	0
2	Henrique da Silva	18 / 31	23 / 36	0 / 0	1

Henrique da Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights6

Joachim Christensen

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3