Featherweight

3 Rounds

Hatsu Hioki won · S-DEC R3

Elo1355

Hatsu HiokivsGeorge RoopUFC Prediction Result

UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz · Saturday, October 29, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Hatsu Hioki won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHatsu Hioki: WrestlervsGeorge Roop: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: George Roop wins(64.5%)

Actual result: Hatsu Hioki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

George Roop at +285 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Hatsu Hioki

Red Corner

George Roop

Blue Corner

-315

(76%)

Vegas Odds

+285

(26%)

1355

Elo

1355

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'1"

185.42 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hatsu HiokiL2 streak

oldest →

vs Clay Guida · Jan 13

vs Darren Elkins · Aug 13

vs Ivan Menjivar · Mar 14

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 14

KOvs Dan Hooker · May 15

latest

George RoopL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Brian Bowles · May 13

KOvs Francisco Rivera · Nov 13

vs Dustin Kimura · Apr 14

KOvs Rob Font · Jul 14

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Sep 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hatsu HiokiMetricGeorge Roop

2.42

Strikes / min

3.43

2.12

Strikes absorbed / min

2.47

65%

Strike defense

60%

2.55

TDs / 15 min

1.05

54%

Takedown defense

59%

0.60

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.96

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hatsu HiokiGeorge Roop

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hatsu Hioki(8 fights)George Roop(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red +48.3|Blue -48.3

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hatsu HiokiTargetGeorge Roop

By target zone

37% acc · 54%

Head

26% acc · 57%

67% acc · 25%

Body

61% acc · 31%

100% acc · 21%

Leg

50% acc · 11%

By position

34% acc · 46%

Distance

26% acc · 63%

75% acc · 25%

Clinch

64% acc · 26%

78% acc · 29%

Ground

67% acc · 11%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hatsu Hioki rounds

even

George Roop rounds

Round 1George Roop edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns1

Control2:44

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 2Hatsu Hioki edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:23

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3George Roop edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:46

10Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:10Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 49

Sig Strikes

35 / 104

49.3%

Sig Str %

34%

58 / 84

Total Strikes

90 / 164

2 / 7

TDs

2 / 2

40%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

6:53

Ctrl Time

3:34

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	George Roop	18 / 49	26 / 57	0 / 0
1	Hatsu Hioki	7 / 19	14 / 27	1 / 5
2	George Roop	7 / 33	30 / 57	0 / 0
2	Hatsu Hioki	12 / 21	29 / 38	1 / 1
3	George Roop	10 / 22	34 / 50	2 / 2
3	Hatsu Hioki	5 / 9	15 / 19	0 / 1

Hatsu Hioki

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights8

George Roop

StanceOrthodox

Height73.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights10