Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Hannah Cifers won · U-DEC R3

Elo1388

Elo1375

Hannah CifersvsJodie EsquibelUFC Prediction Result

UFC 241: Cormier vs. Miocic 2 · Saturday, August 17, 2019Anaheim, California, USA

Official fight result

Hannah Cifers won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHannah Cifers: Pressure fightervsJodie Esquibel: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Hannah Cifers wins(72.8%)

Actual result: Hannah Cifers wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hannah Cifers at -290 American odds

+$34 profit

$134 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hannah Cifers enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Jodie Esquibel enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jodie Esquibel has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Hannah Cifers

Red Corner

Jodie Esquibel

Blue Corner

-290

(74%)

Vegas Odds

+245

(29%)

1388

Elo

1375

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'1"

157.48 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hannah CifersL4 streak

oldest →

vs Polyana Viana · Mar 19

KOvs Angela Hill · Jan 20

SUBvs Mackenzie Dern · May 20

SUBvs Mariya Agapova · Jun 20

SUBvs Mallory Martin · Aug 20

latest

Jodie EsquibelL3 streak

oldest →

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · Oct 17

vs Jessica Aguilar · Jul 18

vs Angela Hill · Apr 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hannah CifersMetricJodie Esquibel

4.99

Strikes / min

4.10

5.39

Strikes absorbed / min

7.37

52%

Strike defense

52%

0.26

TDs / 15 min

0.75

64%

Takedown defense

83%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.40Δ 2.87 — meaningful gap-3.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hannah CifersJodie Esquibel

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hannah Cifers(7 fights)Jodie Esquibel(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +12.7|Blue -12.7

Recent Form

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Striker Score

Red -1.4|Blue +1.4

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +56.0|Blue -56.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hannah CifersTargetJodie Esquibel

By target zone

32% acc · 56%

Head

26% acc · 67%

75% acc · 17%

Body

70% acc · 33%

76% acc · 27%

Leg

By position

41% acc · 87%

Distance

32% acc · 84%

50% acc · 10%

Clinch

38% acc · 12%

67% acc · 3%

Ground

67% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hannah Cifers rounds

even

Jodie Esquibel rounds

Round 1Hannah Cifers edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Hannah Cifers edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control0:10

12Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:54Control

Round 3Hannah Cifers edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns0

Control0:01

15Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:20Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

70 / 164

Sig Strikes

43 / 130

43%

Sig Str %

33%

112 / 207

Total Strikes

69 / 157

1 / 1

TDs

3 / 8

100%

TD %

38.7%

Sub Att

Rev

0:11

Ctrl Time

3:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Jodie Esquibel	16 / 49	16 / 49	0 / 3	0
1	Hannah Cifers	24 / 65	24 / 65	0 / 0	0
2	Jodie Esquibel	12 / 33	18 / 39	2 / 3	0
2	Hannah Cifers	23 / 46	42 / 66	1 / 1	1
3	Jodie Esquibel	15 / 48	35 / 69	1 / 2	0
3	Hannah Cifers	23 / 53	46 / 76	0 / 0	0

Hannah Cifers

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights7

Jodie Esquibel

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights4