Featherweight

3 Rounds

Hakeem Dawodu won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1473

Elo1492

Hakeem DawoduvsYoshinori HorieUFC Prediction Result

UFC 240: Holloway vs. Edgar · Saturday, July 27, 2019Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Hakeem Dawodu won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 4:09

Model Prediction: Hakeem Dawodu wins(69.5%)

Actual result: Hakeem Dawodu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hakeem Dawodu at -440 American odds

+$23 profit

$123 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hakeem Dawodu has 65pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Hakeem Dawodu

Red Corner

Yoshinori Horie

Blue Corner

-440

(81%)

Vegas Odds

+350

(22%)

1473

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hakeem DawoduL2 streak

oldest →

vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20

vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21

vs Michael Trizano · Feb 22

vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22

vs Cub Swanson · Aug 23

latest

Yoshinori HorieNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hakeem DawoduMetricYoshinori Horie

5.45

Strikes / min

2.76

3.37

Strikes absorbed / min

5.65

56%

Strike defense

48%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

0.00

65%

Takedown defense

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.08Δ 4.97 — meaningful gap-2.89

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hakeem DawoduYoshinori Horie

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)Yoshinori Horie(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -18.5|Blue +18.5

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -48.9|Blue +48.9

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hakeem DawoduTargetYoshinori Horie

By target zone

44% acc · 53%

Head

39% acc · 62%

61% acc · 34%

Body

88% acc · 18%

73% acc · 14%

Leg

89% acc · 21%

By position

38% acc · 48%

Distance

51% acc · 90%

76% acc · 53%

Clinch

36% acc · 10%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hakeem Dawodu rounds

even

Yoshinori Horie rounds

Round 1Hakeem Dawodu edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns0

Control0:00

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Hakeem Dawodu edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Hakeem Dawodu edged it

Sig. strikes44

Takedowns0

Control1:20

Knockdowns1

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

80 / 154

Sig Strikes

39 / 79

49.3%

Sig Str %

49%

89 / 166

Total Strikes

41 / 81

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 1

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

1:20

Ctrl Time

0:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yoshinori Horie	11 / 26	11 / 26	0 / 1
1	Hakeem Dawodu	14 / 32	14 / 32	0 / 0
2	Yoshinori Horie	13 / 24	13 / 24	0 / 0
2	Hakeem Dawodu	22 / 50	22 / 50	0 / 0
3	Yoshinori Horie	15 / 29	17 / 31	0 / 0
3	Hakeem Dawodu	44 / 72	53 / 84	0 / 0

Hakeem Dawodu

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights10

Yoshinori Horie

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights1