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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Hakeem Dawodu won · U-DEC R3
Elo1473
Elo1496
Michael Trizano

Hakeem DawoduvsMichael TrizanoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Strickland · Saturday, February 5, 2022Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Hakeem Dawodu won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHakeem Dawodu: StrikervsMichael Trizano: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more paths to victory. The striker needs to be sharp early.

Model Prediction: Hakeem Dawodu wins(55.1%)

Actual result: Hakeem Dawodu wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Hakeem Dawodu enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Hakeem Dawodu
Red Corner
VS
Michael Trizano
Blue Corner
Vegas Odds
1473
Elo
1496
35
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'8"
Height
5'11"
185.42 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hakeem DawoduL3 streak
oldest →
W
vs Julio Arce · Nov 19
W
vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Sep 20
L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jun 21
L
vs Julian Erosa · Sep 22
L
vs Cub Swanson · Aug 23
latest
Michael Trizano
oldest →
W
vs Luis Pena · Nov 18
L
SUBvs Grant Dawson · May 19
W
vs Ludovit Klein · May 21
L
KOvs Lucas Almeida · Jun 22
W
KOvs SeungWoo Choi · Nov 22
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hakeem DawoduMetricMichael Trizano
5.45
Strikes / min
3.63
3.37
Strikes absorbed / min
4.40
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.36
65%
Takedown defense
72%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.08Δ 2.85 — meaningful gap-0.77

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1547 vs 1536Strikes5.5 vs 3.6Takedowns0.0 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.50Form0.0 vs 0.8
Hakeem DawoduMichael Trizano

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Hakeem Dawodu(10 fights)Michael Trizano(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -23.2|Blue +23.2
Recent Form
Red -0.8|Blue +0.8
Striker Score
Red -0.9|Blue +0.9
Grappler Score
Red -0.3|Blue +0.3
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hakeem DawoduTargetMichael Trizano

By target zone

60
50% acc · 43%
Head
36
38% acc · 51%
52
84% acc · 37%
Body
25
86% acc · 36%
29
94% acc · 21%
Leg
9
90% acc · 13%

By position

123
63% acc · 87%
Distance
54
49% acc · 77%
18
95% acc · 13%
Clinch
16
70% acc · 23%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Hakeem Dawodu rounds
0
even
0
Michael Trizano rounds
Round 1Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes43
Takedowns0
Control0:07
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes52
Takedowns0
Control1:25
23Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:03Control
Round 3Hakeem Dawodu edged it
Sig. strikes46
Takedowns0
Control2:14
22Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:30Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
141 / 214
Sig Strikes
70 / 133
66.7%
Sig Str %
52.3%
189 / 266
Total Strikes
94 / 158
0 / 0
TDs
1 / 1
TD %
100%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:46
Ctrl Time
0:33

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michael Trizano25 / 4825 / 480 / 00
1Hakeem Dawodu43 / 8145 / 830 / 00
2Michael Trizano23 / 4029 / 470 / 00
2Hakeem Dawodu52 / 7473 / 960 / 00
3Michael Trizano22 / 4540 / 631 / 10
3Hakeem Dawodu46 / 5971 / 870 / 00

Hakeem Dawodu

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights10

Michael Trizano

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights7