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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jamey-Lyn Horth won · U-DEC R3

Elo1454

Elo1513

Hailey CowanvsJamey-Lyn HorthUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Simon · Saturday, April 29, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamey-Lyn Horth won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHailey Cowan: Well-roundedvsJamey-Lyn Horth: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins(59.7%)

Actual result: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamey-Lyn Horth at -164 American odds

+$61 profit

$161 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamey-Lyn Horth has 23pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Stance matchup historically favors Hailey Cowan (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Hailey Cowan

Red Corner

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Blue Corner

+138

(42%)

Vegas Odds

-164

(62%)

1454

Elo

1513

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'7"

170.18 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hailey CowanL2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Nora Cornolle · Apr 25

KOvs Alice Pereira · Apr 26

latest

Jamey-Lyn Horth

oldest →

vs Ivana Petrovic · Nov 24

vs Miranda Maverick · Dec 24

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 25

KOvs Tereza Bleda · Dec 25

DECvs JJ Aldrich · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hailey CowanMetricJamey-Lyn Horth

2.66

Strikes / min

3.80

2.92

Strikes absorbed / min

2.64

40%

Strike defense

63%

1.95

TDs / 15 min

0.98

80%

Takedown defense

80%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.26Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+1.16

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hailey CowanJamey-Lyn Horth

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hailey Cowan(3 fights)Jamey-Lyn Horth(7 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -59.5|Blue +59.5

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hailey CowanTargetJamey-Lyn Horth

By target zone

34% acc · 60%

Head

63% acc · 49%

62% acc · 33%

Body

91% acc · 39%

80% acc · 6%

Leg

75% acc · 12%

By position

34% acc · 68%

Distance

62% acc · 61%

80% acc · 25%

Clinch

100% acc · 39%

100% acc · 6%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hailey Cowan rounds

even

Jamey-Lyn Horth rounds

Round 1Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns0

Control0:54

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:35Control

Round 2Hailey Cowan edged it

Sig. strikes23

Takedowns1

Control2:13

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control1:43

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

Fight Stats

Totals

63 / 150

Sig Strikes

76 / 104

42%

Sig Str %

73.3%

85 / 173

Total Strikes

99 / 128

2 / 8

TDs

0 / 1

23.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:50

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	24 / 29	31 / 36	0 / 0
1	Hailey Cowan	21 / 55	25 / 59	0 / 1
2	Jamey-Lyn Horth	28 / 42	37 / 52	0 / 0
2	Hailey Cowan	23 / 53	31 / 62	1 / 2
3	Jamey-Lyn Horth	24 / 33	31 / 40	0 / 1
3	Hailey Cowan	19 / 42	29 / 52	1 / 5

Hailey Cowan

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights4

Jamey-Lyn Horth

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6