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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Hacran Dias won · S-DEC R3

Elo1362

Elo1490

Hacran DiasvsLevan MakashviliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Romero · Saturday, June 27, 2015Hollywood, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Hacran Dias won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHacran Dias: WrestlervsLevan Makashvili: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Levan Makashvili wins(50.4%)

Actual result: Hacran Dias wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Levan Makashvili at +125 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Hacran Dias enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Hacran Dias

Red Corner

Levan Makashvili

Blue Corner

-145

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+125

(44%)

1362

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'8"

175.26 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hacran DiasL3 streak

oldest →

vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 14

vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14

vs Cub Swanson · Apr 16

vs Andre Fili · Oct 16

vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17

latest

Levan Makashvili

oldest →

vs Mark Eddiva · May 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hacran DiasMetricLevan Makashvili

2.08

Strikes / min

2.87

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

2.07

55%

Strike defense

61%

2.50

TDs / 15 min

3.67

76%

Takedown defense

85%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.23Δ 2.03 — meaningful gap+0.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hacran DiasLevan Makashvili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hacran Dias(8 fights)Levan Makashvili(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -128.0|Blue +128.0

Recent Form

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Striker Score

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hacran DiasTargetLevan Makashvili

By target zone

20% acc · 24%

Head

40% acc · 43%

100% acc · 41%

Body

75% acc · 24%

100% acc · 35%

Leg

92% acc · 32%

By position

52% acc · 100%

Distance

52% acc · 65%

Clinch

67% acc · 16%

Ground

70% acc · 19%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hacran Dias rounds

even

Levan Makashvili rounds

Round 1Even round

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control0:48

16Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:28Control

Round 2Levan Makashvili edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns2

Control1:12

8Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:56Control

Round 3Levan Makashvili edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control1:21

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:20Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 33

Sig Strikes

37 / 65

57.7%

Sig Str %

56.3%

30 / 49

Total Strikes

66 / 96

3 / 10

TDs

2 / 8

55.3%

TD %

23.3%

Sub Att

Rev

3:21

Ctrl Time

5:44

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Levan Makashvili	16 / 28	19 / 31	0 / 1	0
1	Hacran Dias	12 / 25	15 / 28	1 / 1	0
2	Levan Makashvili	8 / 17	25 / 35	1 / 2	0
2	Hacran Dias	2 / 4	7 / 12	2 / 3	1
3	Levan Makashvili	13 / 20	22 / 30	1 / 5	0
3	Hacran Dias	3 / 4	8 / 9	0 / 6	0

Hacran Dias

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8

Levan Makashvili

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights2