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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Andre Fili won · U-DEC R3

Elo1362

Elo1479

Hacran DiasvsAndre FiliUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Lineker vs. Dodson · Saturday, October 1, 2016Portland, Oregon, USA

Official fight result

Andre Fili won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupHacran Dias: WrestlervsAndre Fili: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Hacran Dias wins(80.1%)

Actual result: Andre Fili wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Hacran Dias at -150 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Andre Fili has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Hacran Dias

Red Corner

Andre Fili

Blue Corner

-150

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+130

(43%)

1362

Elo

1479

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'8"

Height

5'11"

175.26 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Hacran DiasL2 streak

oldest →

vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 14

vs Darren Elkins · Dec 14

vs Levan Makashvili · Jun 15

vs Cub Swanson · Apr 16

vs Jared Gordon · Oct 17

latest

Andre FiliL2 streak

oldest →

vs Cub Swanson · Jun 24

SUBvs Melquizael Costa · Feb 25

vs Christian Rodriguez · Aug 25

vs Jose Delgado · Mar 26

KOvs Vinicius Oliveira · Jun 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Hacran DiasMetricAndre Fili

2.08

Strikes / min

3.88

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.34

55%

Strike defense

50%

2.50

TDs / 15 min

2.32

76%

Takedown defense

71%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.23evenly matched on net striking-0.46

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Hacran DiasAndre Fili

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Hacran Dias(8 fights)Andre Fili(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -116.9|Blue +116.9

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red -0.8|Blue +0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +7.0|Blue -7.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Hacran DiasTargetAndre Fili

By target zone

33% acc · 80%

Head

32% acc · 76%

33% acc · 8%

Body

50% acc · 7%

100% acc · 12%

Leg

73% acc · 18%

By position

33% acc · 80%

Distance

29% acc · 53%

50% acc · 4%

Clinch

25% acc · 2%

57% acc · 16%

Ground

54% acc · 44%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Hacran Dias rounds

even

Andre Fili rounds

Round 1Andre Fili edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control1:08

Knockdowns0

23Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:31Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Andre Fili edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control1:14

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

1:31Control

Round 3Hacran Dias edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:11

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:17Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

25 / 69

Sig Strikes

45 / 124

37.3%

Sig Str %

37%

46 / 91

Total Strikes

72 / 151

4 / 13

TDs

1 / 2

31.7%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

5:33

Ctrl Time

2:19

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Andre Fili	23 / 68	32 / 77	0 / 0	0
1	Hacran Dias	10 / 30	13 / 33	1 / 5	0
2	Andre Fili	13 / 33	20 / 40	1 / 1	0
2	Hacran Dias	8 / 24	15 / 31	1 / 4	1
3	Andre Fili	9 / 23	20 / 34	0 / 1	0
3	Hacran Dias	7 / 15	18 / 27	2 / 4	0

Hacran Dias

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights8

Andre Fili

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights26