Lightweight

3 Rounds

Guram Kutateladze won · U-DEC R3

Elo1492

Elo1482

Guram KutateladzevsJordan VucenicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · Saturday, August 3, 2024Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Guram Kutateladze won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Guram Kutateladze wins(62.0%)

Actual result: Guram Kutateladze wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Guram Kutateladze at -160 American odds

+$63 profit

$163 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Guram Kutateladze enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Guram Kutateladze has 31pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Guram Kutateladze

Red Corner

Jordan Vucenic

Blue Corner

-160

(62%)

Vegas Odds

+124

(45%)

1492

Elo

1482

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Guram KutateladzeL3 streak

oldest →

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 20

vs Damir Ismagulov · Jun 22

KOvs Elves Brener · Jul 23

vs Kaue Fernandes · Mar 25

latest

Jordan Vucenic

oldest →

SUBvs Chris Duncan · Mar 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Guram KutateladzeMetricJordan Vucenic

3.53

Strikes / min

2.11

4.22

Strikes absorbed / min

1.90

54%

Strike defense

58%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

0.63

75%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.69evenly matched on net striking+0.21

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Guram KutateladzeJordan Vucenic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Guram Kutateladze(5 fights)Jordan Vucenic(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +9.9|Blue -9.9

Recent Form

Red -0.9|Blue +0.9

Striker Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Grappler Score

Red -49.9|Blue +49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Guram KutateladzeTargetJordan Vucenic

By target zone

27% acc · 43%

Head

32% acc · 68%

81% acc · 43%

Body

83% acc · 29%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 3%

By position

30% acc · 50%

Distance

34% acc · 71%

100% acc · 37%

Clinch

78% acc · 21%

57% acc · 13%

Ground

60% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Guram Kutateladze rounds

even

Jordan Vucenic rounds

Round 1Jordan Vucenic edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:06Control

1Knockdowns

Round 2Guram Kutateladze edged it

Sig. strikes19

Takedowns1

Control1:03

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:52Control

Round 3Guram Kutateladze edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control3:02

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:34Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

30 / 68

Sig Strikes

34 / 85

43%

Sig Str %

36.3%

87 / 152

Total Strikes

81 / 139

1 / 4

TDs

0 / 5

25%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

4:05

Ctrl Time

4:32

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jordan Vucenic	17 / 39	38 / 65	0 / 0
1	Guram Kutateladze	3 / 13	16 / 27	0 / 0
2	Jordan Vucenic	15 / 39	26 / 51	0 / 2
2	Guram Kutateladze	19 / 42	22 / 45	1 / 4
3	Jordan Vucenic	2 / 7	17 / 23	0 / 3
3	Guram Kutateladze	8 / 13	49 / 80	0 / 0

Guram Kutateladze

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Jordan Vucenic

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights2