Lightweight

3 Rounds

Elves Brener won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1492

Elo1487

Guram KutateladzevsElves BrenerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · Saturday, July 1, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Elves Brener won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:17

Style matchupGuram Kutateladze: Well-roundedvsElves Brener: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Elves Brener wins(83.5%)

Actual result: Elves Brener wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Elves Brener enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Guram Kutateladze

Red Corner

Elves Brener

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1492

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Guram Kutateladze

oldest →

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 20

vs Damir Ismagulov · Jun 22

vs Jordan Vucenic · Aug 24

vs Kaue Fernandes · Mar 25

latest

Elves BrenerL3 streak

oldest →

vs Zubaira Tukhugov · Feb 23

KOvs Kaynan Kruschewsky · Nov 23

vs Myktybek Orolbai · May 24

KOvs Joel Alvarez · Aug 24

vs Esteban Ribovics · Aug 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Guram KutateladzeMetricElves Brener

3.53

Strikes / min

4.76

4.22

Strikes absorbed / min

5.86

54%

Strike defense

50%

0.61

TDs / 15 min

0.99

75%

Takedown defense

76%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.69evenly matched on net striking-1.10

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Guram KutateladzeElves Brener

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Guram Kutateladze(5 fights)Elves Brener(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +4.6|Blue -4.6

Recent Form

Red -1.6|Blue +1.6

Striker Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +238.0|Blue -238.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Guram KutateladzeTargetElves Brener

By target zone

43% acc · 58%

Head

42% acc · 65%

70% acc · 33%

Body

83% acc · 23%

89% acc · 9%

Leg

62% acc · 12%

By position

44% acc · 64%

Distance

47% acc · 82%

83% acc · 29%

Clinch

75% acc · 9%

55% acc · 7%

Ground

50% acc · 9%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Guram Kutateladze rounds

even

Elves Brener rounds

Round 1Guram Kutateladze edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:48

9Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:11Control

Round 2Guram Kutateladze edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control1:09

27Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:05Control

Round 3Elves Brener edged it

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns0

Control0:26

Knockdowns0

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:32Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

85 / 163

Sig Strikes

65 / 132

53%

Sig Str %

47%

99 / 177

Total Strikes

93 / 165

1 / 3

TDs

2 / 7

25%

TD %

16.5%

Sub Att

Rev

2:23

Ctrl Time

2:48

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Elves Brener	9 / 22	26 / 42	2 / 6
1	Guram Kutateladze	30 / 48	33 / 51	0 / 0
2	Elves Brener	27 / 57	36 / 68	0 / 1
2	Guram Kutateladze	33 / 73	41 / 81	1 / 2
3	Elves Brener	29 / 53	31 / 55	0 / 0
3	Guram Kutateladze	22 / 42	25 / 45	0 / 1

Guram Kutateladze

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights5

Elves Brener

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights6