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Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Davey Grant won · Decision R3
Elo1378
Elo1521

Grigorii PopovvsDavey GrantUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Zabit vs. Kattar · Saturday, November 9, 2019Moscow, Moscow, Russia

Official fight result

Davey Grant won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Davey Grant wins(61.8%)

Actual result: Davey Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Davey Grant at +130 American odds

+$130 profit

$230 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Stance matchup historically favors Grigorii Popov (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Grigorii Popov
Red Corner
VS
Davey Grant
Blue Corner
-150
(60%)
Vegas Odds
+130
(43%)
1378
Elo
1521
35
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'8"
170.18 cm
Reach
175.26 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Grigorii Popov
oldest →
L
KOvs Eddie Wineland · Jun 19
latest
Davey Grant
oldest →
L
vs Daniel Marcos · Jul 23
W
vs Ramon Taveras · Dec 24
W
vs Da'Mon Blackshear · Jul 25
L
SUBvs Charles Jourdain · Oct 25
W
DECvs Adrian Luna Martinetti · Apr 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Grigorii PopovMetricDavey Grant
—
Strikes / min
5.58
—
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
—
Strike defense
54%
—
TDs / 15 min
0.95
—
Takedown defense
65%
—
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1483 vs 1470Takedowns0.0 vs 2.6Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.00Form-1.0 vs -0.8
Grigorii PopovDavey Grant

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801495151015251540← oldermost recent →
Grigorii Popov(2 fights)Davey Grant(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -142.9|Blue +142.9
Recent Form
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Striker Score
Red -1.8|Blue +1.8
Grappler Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Layoff
Red -321.0|Blue +321.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Grigorii Popov

StanceSwitch
Height67.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights1

Davey Grant

StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights16