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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Gregor Gillespie won · KO/TKO R2

Elo1494

Elo1403

Gregor GillespievsYancy MedeirosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cejudo vs. Dillashaw · Saturday, January 19, 2019Brooklyn, New York, USA

Official fight result

Gregor Gillespie won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:59

Style matchupGregor Gillespie: WrestlervsYancy Medeiros: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Gregor Gillespie wins(68.7%)

Actual result: Gregor Gillespie wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gregor Gillespie at -470 American odds

+$21 profit

$121 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Yancy Medeiros enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Gregor Gillespie is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Yancy Medeiros has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Gregor Gillespie has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Gregor Gillespie has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Yancy Medeiros has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Gregor Gillespie

Red Corner

Yancy Medeiros

Blue Corner

-470

(82%)

Vegas Odds

+375

(21%)

1494

Elo

1403

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gregor Gillespie

oldest →

SUBvs Jason Gonzalez · Sep 17

KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18

SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18

KOvs Kevin Lee · Nov 19

KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21

latest

Yancy MedeirosL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Erick Silva · Jun 17

KOvs Alex Oliveira · Dec 17

KOvs Donald Cerrone · Feb 18

vs Lando Vannata · Feb 20

vs Damir Hadzovic · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gregor GillespieMetricYancy Medeiros

3.74

Strikes / min

4.36

2.30

Strikes absorbed / min

5.67

57%

Strike defense

47%

6.86

TDs / 15 min

0.33

100%

Takedown defense

73%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.44Δ 2.75 — meaningful gap-1.31

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Gregor GillespieYancy Medeiros

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)Yancy Medeiros(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +90.9|Blue -90.9

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.3|Blue -0.3

Layoff

Red -103.0|Blue +103.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gregor GillespieTargetYancy Medeiros

By target zone

66% acc · 75%

Head

9% acc · 100%

100% acc · 20%

Body

0% acc

100% acc · 6%

Leg

By position

9% acc · 2%

Distance

9% acc · 100%

67% acc · 12%

Clinch

86% acc · 86%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Gregor Gillespie rounds

even

Yancy Medeiros rounds

Round 1Gregor Gillespie edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns3

Control4:28

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Round 2Gregor Gillespie edged it

Sig. strikes39

Takedowns3

Control4:19

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

51 / 71

Sig Strikes

1 / 12

72.5%

Sig Str %

73 / 95

Total Strikes

1 / 12

6 / 11

TDs

0 / 0

58.5%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

8:47

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Yancy Medeiros	0 / 4	0 / 4	0 / 0
1	Gregor Gillespie	12 / 16	15 / 19	3 / 7
2	Yancy Medeiros	1 / 8	1 / 8	0 / 0
2	Gregor Gillespie	39 / 55	58 / 76	3 / 4

Gregor Gillespie

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8

Yancy Medeiros

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights14