Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Diego Ferreira is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Grant Dawson has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Diego Ferreira has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Grant Dawson (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant Dawson
oldest →L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Dec 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 26 Diego Ferreira
oldest →L
KOvs Gregor Gillespie · May 21L
KOvs Mateusz Gamrot · Dec 21W
KOvs Michael Johnson · May 23W
KOvs Mateusz Rebecki · May 24L
KOvs Alexander Hernandez · Sep 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricDiego Ferreira
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+1.00evenly matched on net striking+1.24
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Grant DawsonDiego Ferreira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Diego Ferreira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +38.5|Blue -38.5
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -154.0|Blue +154.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Grant DawsonTargetDiego Ferreira
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Grant Dawson edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns3
Control3:11
11Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Grant Dawson edged it
Sig. strikes21
Takedowns1
Control3:44
17Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:18Control
Round 3Grant Dawson edged it
Sig. strikes14
Takedowns2
Control3:55
13Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
