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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Khalil Rountree Jr. won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1491
Elo1502

Gokhan SakivsKhalil Rountree Jr.UFC Prediction Result

UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Saturday, July 7, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Khalil Rountree Jr. won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 1:36

Style matchupGokhan Saki: Pressure fightervsKhalil Rountree Jr.: Striker

The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.

Model Prediction: Gokhan Saki wins(70.4%)

Actual result: Khalil Rountree Jr. wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Gokhan Saki at -160 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Gokhan Saki is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Khalil Rountree Jr. has lost 57% of fights by KO.
  • Gokhan Saki has 42pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Khalil Rountree Jr. (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Gokhan Saki
Red Corner
VS
Khalil Rountree Jr.
Blue Corner
-160
(62%)
Vegas Odds
+140
(42%)
1491
Elo
1502
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Gokhan Saki
oldest →
W
KOvs Henrique da Silva · Sep 17
latest
Khalil Rountree Jr.
oldest →
W
KOvs Chris Daukaus · Aug 23
W
KOvs Anthony Smith · Dec 23
L
KOvs Alex Pereira · Oct 24
W
vs Jamahal Hill · Jun 25
L
KOvs Jiri Prochazka · Oct 25
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Gokhan SakiMetricKhalil Rountree Jr.
7.09
Strikes / min
3.88
4.57
Strikes absorbed / min
4.33
53%
Strike defense
49%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.00
100%
Takedown defense
58%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.52Δ 2.97 — meaningful gap-0.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1502Strikes40.0 vs 17.4Takedowns0.0 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 0.20Form1.0 vs 0.3
Gokhan SakiKhalil Rountree Jr.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801493150515181530← oldermost recent →
Gokhan Saki(2 fights)Khalil Rountree Jr.(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -11.3|Blue +11.3
Recent Form
Red +0.7|Blue -0.7
Striker Score
Red -0.7|Blue +0.7
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Layoff
Red -68.0|Blue +68.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Gokhan SakiTargetKhalil Rountree Jr.

By target zone

2
29% acc · 40%
Head
9
53% acc · 100%
0
0% acc
Body
0
3
100% acc · 60%
Leg
0

By position

5
45% acc · 100%
Distance
3
27% acc · 33%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
6
100% acc · 67%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Gokhan Saki rounds
0
even
1
Khalil Rountree Jr. rounds
Round 1Khalil Rountree Jr. edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
5 / 11
Sig Strikes
9 / 17
45%
Sig Str %
52%
5 / 11
Total Strikes
9 / 17
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Khalil Rountree Jr.9 / 179 / 170 / 00
1Gokhan Saki5 / 115 / 110 / 00

Gokhan Saki

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2

Khalil Rountree Jr.

StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights17